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20 Mar 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
95%
RB Leipzig 95%
Draw 4%
Union Berlin 1%
4.0 – 0.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
4-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
81%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RB Leipzig · at home
Union Berlin · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded per game
3.20
1.25x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.63x
0.63x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.33x
Average: 2.40 home goals and 0.95 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayern Munich (A) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
38%
63%
RB Leipzig wins 3
Draws 0
Union Berlin wins 5
Goals 13 (1.63 per game)
Goals 11 (1.38 per game)
88%
7
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
7
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Both Teams Scored
25%
2
of 8
RB Leipzig Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 8
Union Berlin Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
Points on these 5
12 of 21 · 1.71 per game
7 of 18 · 1.17 per game
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.10
7-0-3
PPG Overall
3.00
5-0-0
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: RB Leipzig at home +400% on points per game vs Union Berlin away (3.00 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
181
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
183
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
100%
40%
Goals per game
3.10
3.60
2.60
Scored
2.00
3.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
0.60
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.60
3.40
3.80
Scored
1.20
1.80
0.60
Conceded
2.40
1.60
3.20
Both teams scored
40%
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
35%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
25%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
0.60 away
RB Leipzig scored 15 in 5 home games
Union Berlin scored 3 in 5 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Scored over 2.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
3.20 away
RB Leipzig conceded 3 in 5 home games
Union Berlin conceded 16 in 5 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 1.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run in the last 10 games
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
RB Leipzig
RB
Union Berlin
UNI
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.70
–
Corners conceded
4.67
4.40
–
Match total
9.67
9.10
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
60% 6/10
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
40% 4/10
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
30% 3/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.40
–
Opponent cards
2.10
2.20
–
Match total
4.00
4.60
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
90% 9/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.00
12.00
–
Opponent shots
10.80
13.30
–
Match total
28.80
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.30
3.90
–
Opponent on target
3.80
6.00
–
Match total
10.10
9.90
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.10
11.90
–
Opponent fouls
12.30
10.80
–
Match total
22.40
22.70
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.88
2.13
–
Opponent offsides
2.50
1.88
–
Match total
4.38
4.00
–
Possession
All games
57%
46%
–
Home games
56%
46%
–
Away games
58%
45%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
RB Leipzig
Scored · 20
5%
25%
0%
5%
25%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
Union Berlin
Scored · 12
17%
0%
25%
8%
0%
50%
Conceded · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
21%
17%
50%
Scored first
44%
40%
Goals after 75'
50%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: RB Leipzig 5 of 10, Union Berlin 4 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%20%40%
Leading 4
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 of 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 14
At half-time
10%40%50%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 5
0.70
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 7
6
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 6 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 4 games
2
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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