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3 Apr 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
18%
26%
56%
Bayer Leverkusen 18%
Draw 26%
Borussia Dortmund 56%
0.7 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
16% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bayer Leverkusen · at home
Borussia Dortmund · away
2.20
Goals scored per game
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.98x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.90x
0.76x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.33x
Average: 2.25 home goals and 1.05 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs RB Leipzig (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
70%
Bayer Leverkusen wins 3
Draws 0
Borussia Dortmund wins 7
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
Goals 27 (2.70 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 10
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Points on these 4
3 of 12 · 0.75 per game
10 of 12 · 2.50 per game
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
L
D
D
L
D
W
1.30
3-4-3
PPG Overall
2.00
3-1-1
PPG at Home
0.60
0-3-2
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund away +25% on points per game vs Bayer Leverkusen at home (2.50 vs 2.00)
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
195
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
196
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
2.90
3.00
2.80
Scored
1.60
2.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
0.80
1.80
Both teams scored
50%
40%
60%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 5/10
40% 4/10
45%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.20 at home
2.00 away
Bayer Leverkusen scored 11 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund scored 8 in 4 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
100% 10/10
Scored over 1.5
60% 6/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 2.5
10% 1/10
60% 6/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
0% 0/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.80 at home
0.75 away
Bayer Leverkusen conceded 4 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund conceded 3 in 4 away games
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 1.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
20% 2/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
4
Scored in a row
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Bayer Leverkusen
BAY
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
League
Corners
Corners won
6.56
6.40
–
Corners conceded
3.56
4.10
–
Match total
10.11
10.50
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
56% 5/9
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
44% 4/9
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.80
1.90
–
Opponent cards
3.20
1.80
–
Match total
6.00
3.70
3.64
Over 3.5
80% 8/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
15.50
19.70
–
Opponent shots
11.00
10.70
–
Match total
26.50
30.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.20
7.10
–
Opponent on target
3.80
3.60
–
Match total
8.00
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.50
9.90
–
Opponent fouls
10.80
12.20
–
Match total
22.30
22.10
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.25
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.38
2.13
–
Match total
2.63
3.63
–
Possession
All games
55%
56%
–
Home games
51%
58%
–
Away games
58%
54%
–
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bayer Leverkusen
Scored · 16
13%
25%
13%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 13
23%
8%
15%
39%
0%
15%
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
56%
Scored first
67%
25%
Goals after 75'
28%
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Bayer Leverkusen 5 of 9, Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%20%30%
Leading 5
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.70
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 8
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
2
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
5
4
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Bayer Leverkusen: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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