|
8 May 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
13%
82%
FSV Mainz 05 5%
Draw 13%
Borussia Dortmund 82%
0.5 – 2.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
15% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FSV Mainz 05 · at home
Borussia Dortmund · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
2.00
2.20
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.65x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.18x
1.29x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.35x
Average: 2.15 home goals and 1.70 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
10%
20%
70%
FSV Mainz 05 wins 1
Draws 2
Borussia Dortmund wins 7
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Points on these 5
7 of 18 · 1.17 per game
15 of 15 · 3.00 per game
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund away +213% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 at home (2.50 vs 0.80)
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
231
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
231
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
80%
78%
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
60%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
45%
–
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
65%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
2.00 away
FSV Mainz 05 scored 7 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund scored 8 in 4 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Scored over 0.5
70% 7/10
100% 10/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Failed to score
30% 3/10
0% 0/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.20 at home
0.75 away
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund conceded 3 in 4 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 1.5
70% 7/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
60% 6/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
6.40
–
Corners conceded
4.70
4.10
–
Match total
9.50
10.50
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.50
1.80
–
Match total
4.00
3.70
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
19.70
–
Opponent shots
13.70
10.70
–
Match total
26.90
30.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.70
7.10
–
Opponent on target
4.90
3.60
–
Match total
9.60
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.80
9.90
–
Opponent fouls
8.70
12.20
–
Match total
21.50
22.10
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.71
2.13
–
Match total
3.71
3.63
–
Possession
All games
45%
56%
–
Home games
47%
58%
–
Away games
44%
54%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
33%
Scored first
67%
33%
Goals after 75'
28%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9, Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
6
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 3 games
5
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Latest Games
