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15 May 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
46%
18%
36%
1899 Hoffenheim 46%
Draw 18%
FSV Mainz 05 36%
2.6 – 2.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-2
7% chance
Most Likely Score
88%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
84%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
1899 Hoffenheim · at home
FSV Mainz 05 · away
2.40
Goals scored per game
2.20
2.00
Goals conceded per game
2.20
1.20x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.19x
1.08x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.10x
Average: 2.00 home goals and 1.85 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs SC Paderborn 07 (A) 3-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
20%
60%
1899 Hoffenheim wins 2
Draws 2
FSV Mainz 05 wins 6
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
Goals 19 (1.90 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
1899 Hoffenheim Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Points on these 5
7 of 18 · 1.17 per game
2 of 18 · 0.33 per game
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
D
L
W
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
1.00
3-1-6
PPG Overall
1.80
3-0-2
PPG at Home
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Away
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: 1899 Hoffenheim at home +29% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 away (1.80 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
237
days rest
SC Paderborn 07 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
238
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
60%
0%
Goals per game
3.70
4.40
3.00
Scored
1.70
2.40
1.00
Conceded
2.00
2.00
2.00
Both teams scored
90%
100%
80%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
78%
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
–
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
–
Over 1.5
40% 4/10
70% 7/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.40 at home
2.20 away
1899 Hoffenheim scored 12 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 scored 11 in 5 away games
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Scored over 0.5
90% 9/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.20 away
1899 Hoffenheim conceded 10 in 5 home games
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 away games
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
Conceded over 0.5
100% 10/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 2.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Clean sheets
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Lost last game
10
Conceded all of the last 10 games
8
Scored in a row
8
Both teams scored in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
1899 Hoffenheim
189
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
League
Corners
Corners won
3.90
4.80
–
Corners conceded
6.00
4.70
–
Match total
9.90
9.50
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
70% 7/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
50% 5/10
20% 2/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.50
–
Opponent cards
1.50
1.50
–
Match total
3.50
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
–
Shots
Shots
12.40
13.20
–
Opponent shots
14.80
13.70
–
Match total
27.20
26.90
31.03
Shots on target
On target
3.50
4.70
–
Opponent on target
4.30
4.90
–
Match total
7.80
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.30
12.80
–
Opponent fouls
10.90
8.70
–
Match total
24.20
21.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.57
1.71
–
Match total
3.29
3.71
–
Possession
All games
50%
45%
–
Home games
46%
47%
–
Away games
53%
44%
–
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
1899 Hoffenheim
Scored · 17
12%
12%
23%
12%
18%
23%
Conceded · 20
5%
15%
15%
15%
25%
25%
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
60%
Scored first
33%
24%
Goals after 75'
33%
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: 1899 Hoffenheim 6 of 10, FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%10%40%
Leading 5
Level 1
Trailing 4
1.60
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 82nd 9
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
0
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 7 games
6
8
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 5 games
5
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (1899 Hoffenheim: 4, FSV Mainz 05: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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