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7 Mar 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
53%
29%
18%
Alaves 53%
Draw 29%
Athletic Club 18%
1.3 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
32%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ALA · at home
BIL · all games
2.25
Goals scored per game
1.17
0.75
Goals conceded per game
1.00
1.32x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
0.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 6 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Athletic Club (A) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
27
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
43%
43%
Alaves wins 1
Draws 3
Athletic Club wins 3
Goals 4 (0.57 per game)
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
29%
2
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Alaves Clean Sheets
57%
4
of 7
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
D
W
1.57
3-2-2
PPG Overall
2.25
3-0-1
PPG at Home
0.67
0-2-1
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Alaves at home +50% on points per game vs Athletic Club away (2.25 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
169
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
169
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
43%
75%
0%
Goals per game
2.43
3.00
1.67
Scored
1.57
2.25
0.67
Conceded
0.86
0.75
1.00
Both teams scored
43%
25%
67%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
29%
25%
33%
xG
1.29
1.25
1.34
xGA
1.14
0.98
1.35
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Alaves
ALA
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
83% 5/6
85%
–
Over 1.5
57% 4/7
83% 5/6
70%
77%
Over 2.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
38%
57%
Over 3.5
14% 1/7
17% 1/6
15%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
Under 2.5
57% 4/7
67% 4/6
62%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
38%
58%
BTTS & win
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
23%
–
Alaves
ALA
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
43% 3/7
50% 3/6
46%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
23%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/6
0%
–
BTTS
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.25 at home
1.00 away
Alaves scored 9 in 4 home games
Athletic Club scored 2 in 2 away games
Alaves
ALA
Athletic Club
BIL
Scored over 0.5
71% 5/7
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
Failed to score
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
1.00 away
Alaves conceded 3 in 4 home games
Athletic Club conceded 2 in 2 away games
Alaves
ALA
Athletic Club
BIL
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
33% 2/6
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
17% 1/6
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
50% 3/6
Streaks
3
Without a win last win 4 games ago
2
Failed to score in a row
2
Longest win run this season
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Alaves
ALA
Athletic Club
BIL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.29
6.17
–
Corners conceded
5.14
4.83
–
Match total
9.43
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
43% 3/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
43% 3/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.17
–
Opponent cards
2.43
1.67
–
Match total
4.43
3.83
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
12.43
15.67
–
Opponent shots
12.14
9.50
–
Match total
24.57
25.17
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.43
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.14
3.67
–
Match total
8.57
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.57
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
13.14
11.33
–
Match total
26.71
22.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.86
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.86
3.67
–
Match total
5.71
5.17
–
Possession
All games
42%
53%
–
Home games
42%
60%
–
Away games
42%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Alaves
Scored · 11
0%
18%
18%
9%
18%
37%
Conceded · 6
0%
0%
17%
50%
17%
16%
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
67%
Scored first
40%
36%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Alaves 4 of 6, Athletic Club 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 7
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
1
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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