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10 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
27%
25%
48%
Angers 27%
Draw 25%
Strasbourg 48%
1.1 – 1.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
52%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ANG · at home
STR · away
1.06
Goals scored per game
1.67
1.19
Goals conceded per game
1.73
0.66x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.37x
0.97x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.07x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 32 + 31 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Auxerre (A) 3-1 · 3 May 2026
7
Substitutes
23
42
Last game lineup
4-4-1-1
vs Toulouse (H) 1-2 · 3 May 2026
39
83
34
Substitutes
19
45
28
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
100%
Angers wins 0
Draws 0
Strasbourg wins 3
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 10 (3.33 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Angers Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Strasbourg Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Points on these 5
13 of 30 · 1.30 per game
9 of 30 · 0.90 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
D
L
D
L
L
W
L
L
1.06
9-7-16
PPG Overall
1.38
6-4-6
PPG at Home
0.75
3-3-10
PPG Away
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
D
D
D
W
D
1.48
13-7-11
PPG Overall
1.69
8-3-5
PPG at Home
1.27
5-4-6
PPG Away
Venue form: Angers at home +9% on points per game vs Strasbourg away (1.38 vs 1.27)
Rest & Schedule
7
days rest
Auxerre 3-1 Angers
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
7
days rest
Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
28%
38%
19%
Goals per game
2.28
2.25
2.31
Scored
0.84
1.06
0.63
Conceded
1.44
1.19
1.69
Both teams scored
38%
38%
38%
Clean sheets
31%
38%
25%
Failed to score
38%
31%
44%
xG
0.92
1.03
0.82
xGA
1.62
1.45
1.79
Overall
Home
Away
Played
31
16
15
Win %
42%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.94
2.50
3.40
Scored
1.61
1.56
1.67
Conceded
1.32
0.94
1.73
Both teams scored
61%
50%
73%
Clean sheets
29%
44%
13%
Failed to score
19%
19%
20%
xG
1.51
1.64
1.36
xGA
1.28
1.02
1.56
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 30/32
90% 28/31
92%
–
Over 1.5
63% 20/32
74% 23/31
68%
72%
Over 2.5
31% 10/32
65% 20/31
48%
53%
Over 3.5
19% 6/32
35% 11/31
27%
33%
Over 4.5
13% 4/32
26% 8/31
19%
–
Under 2.5
69% 22/32
35% 11/31
52%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
38% 12/32
61% 19/31
49%
51%
BTTS & win
3% 1/32
23% 7/31
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
25% 8/32
55% 17/31
40%
–
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 22/32
71% 22/31
70%
–
Over 1.5
19% 6/32
32% 10/31
26%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/32
10% 3/31
8%
–
BTTS
6% 2/32
23% 7/31
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.06 at home
1.67 away
Angers scored 17 in 16 home games
Strasbourg scored 25 in 15 away games
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Scored over 0.5
63% 20/32
81% 25/31
Scored over 1.5
16% 5/32
42% 13/31
Scored over 2.5
3% 1/32
29% 9/31
Failed to score
38% 12/32
19% 6/31
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.19 at home
1.73 away
Angers conceded 19 in 16 home games
Strasbourg conceded 26 in 15 away games
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
Conceded over 0.5
69% 22/32
71% 22/31
Conceded over 1.5
41% 13/32
45% 14/31
Conceded over 2.5
16% 5/32
13% 4/31
Clean sheets
31% 10/32
29% 9/31
Streaks
7
Without a win last win 8 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Longest win run this season
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded in a row
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Scored in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Angers
ANG
Strasbourg
STR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.77
4.21
–
Corners conceded
4.97
4.90
–
Match total
8.74
9.10
9.49
Over 8.5
48% 15/31
59% 17/29
–
Over 9.5
39% 12/31
45% 13/29
–
Over 10.5
19% 6/31
38% 11/29
–
Cards
Cards
1.53
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.31
1.84
–
Match total
2.84
3.74
3.97
Over 3.5
41% 13/32
58% 18/31
–
Over 4.5
13% 4/32
26% 8/31
–
Shots
Shots
9.06
11.00
–
Opponent shots
14.13
12.00
–
Match total
23.19
23.00
24.23
Shots on target
On target
3.20
4.55
–
Opponent on target
5.60
4.59
–
Match total
8.80
9.14
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.94
11.13
–
Opponent fouls
11.06
12.77
–
Match total
22.00
23.90
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.91
1.74
–
Opponent offsides
1.43
1.74
–
Match total
3.35
3.48
–
Possession
All games
42%
54%
–
Home games
44%
53%
–
Away games
41%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Angers
Scored · 27
4%
22%
7%
19%
11%
37%
Conceded · 46
15%
15%
20%
15%
26%
9%
Strasbourg
Scored · 50
6%
18%
18%
14%
18%
26%
Conceded · 41
12%
15%
7%
32%
5%
29%
33%
Scored first
61%
37%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Angers 10 of 30, Strasbourg 17 of 28 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%34%44%
Leading 7
Level 11
Trailing 14
1.00
points per game
At half-time
86%
6 of 7
Led at HT, won
14%
2 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 18
At half-time
35%45%19%
Leading 11
Level 14
Trailing 6
1.52
points per game
At half-time
64%
7 of 11
Led at HT, won
33%
2 of 6
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 212nd 29
5
Points won from losing positions in 21 · 15 games
8
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 20 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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