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18 Apr 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
19%
31%
50%
AS Roma 19%
Draw 31%
Lazio 50%
0.6 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
20% chance
Most Likely Score
26%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
AS Roma · at home
Lazio · away
2.67
Goals scored per game
1.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
0.33
1.80x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.17x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.23x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Inter (H) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Venezia (A) 0-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
40%
20%
40%
AS Roma wins 4
Draws 2
Lazio wins 4
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
Goals 9 (0.90 per game)
60%
6
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Both Teams Scored
50%
5
of 10
AS Roma Clean Sheets
40%
4
of 10
Lazio Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
W
W
W
W
2.60
4-1-0
PPG Overall
2.33
2-1-0
PPG at Home
3.00
2-0-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Lazio away +29% on points per game vs AS Roma at home (3.00 vs 2.33)
Rest & Schedule
211
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
211
days rest
Venezia 0-2 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
67%
100%
Goals per game
3.40
3.67
3.00
Scored
2.80
2.67
3.00
Conceded
0.60
1.00
0.00
Both teams scored
40%
67%
0%
Clean sheets
60%
33%
100%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.56
2.57
2.56
xGA
1.11
1.30
0.83
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
80%
50%
100%
Goals per game
2.20
2.50
2.00
Scored
1.60
1.50
1.67
Conceded
0.60
1.00
0.33
Both teams scored
40%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
60%
50%
67%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.54
1.82
1.35
xGA
1.24
0.84
1.51
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
AS Roma
AS
Lazio
LAZ
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
AS Roma
AS
Lazio
LAZ
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.67 at home
1.67 away
AS Roma scored 8 in 3 home games
Lazio scored 5 in 3 away games
AS Roma
AS
Lazio
LAZ
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.33 away
AS Roma conceded 3 in 3 home games
Lazio conceded 1 in 3 away games
AS Roma
AS
Lazio
LAZ
Conceded over 0.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Streaks
Match Totals
AS Roma
AS
Lazio
LAZ
League
Corners
Corners won
5.80
4.40
–
Corners conceded
1.80
4.80
–
Match total
7.60
9.20
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.60
4.00
–
Match total
3.20
5.60
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
–
Shots
Shots
20.60
12.80
–
Opponent shots
9.20
13.00
–
Match total
29.80
25.80
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.00
3.80
–
Opponent on target
3.40
5.00
–
Match total
10.40
8.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.00
13.80
–
Opponent fouls
8.80
13.00
–
Match total
21.80
26.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.80
1.20
–
Opponent offsides
1.60
1.60
–
Match total
5.40
2.80
–
Possession
All games
58%
46%
–
Home games
59%
40%
–
Away games
56%
51%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
AS Roma
Scored · 14
14%
22%
14%
14%
7%
29%
Conceded · 3
0%
0%
0%
67%
0%
33%
Lazio
Scored · 8
13%
13%
13%
37%
12%
12%
Conceded · 3
0%
0%
0%
33%
67%
0%
80%
Scored first
80%
29%
Goals after 75'
13%
Scored first: AS Roma 4 of 5, Lazio 4 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 7
At half-time
40%60%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 0
1.80
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 5
3
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 1 games
3
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 5 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
