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17 Jan 2027-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
9%
19%
72%
Atalanta 9%
Draw 19%
AS Roma 72%
0.5 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
16% chance
Most Likely Score
46%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
AS Roma · all games
1.33
Goals scored per game
2.80
1.00
Goals conceded per game
0.60
0.90x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.97x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.41x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Juventus (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Inter (H) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
20%
30%
Atalanta wins 5
Draws 2
AS Roma wins 3
Goals 13 (1.30 per game)
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Atalanta Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
AS Roma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
W
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
2.00
2-0-1
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: AS Roma away +50% on points per game vs Atalanta at home (3.00 vs 2.00)
Rest & Schedule
119
days rest
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
120
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
40%
67%
0%
Goals per game
2.40
2.33
2.50
Scored
1.00
1.33
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
0%
Failed to score
20%
0%
50%
xG
0.81
0.92
0.65
xGA
1.87
1.69
2.14
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
67%
100%
Goals per game
3.40
3.67
3.00
Scored
2.80
2.67
3.00
Conceded
0.60
1.00
0.00
Both teams scored
40%
67%
0%
Clean sheets
60%
33%
100%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.56
2.57
2.56
xGA
1.11
1.30
0.83
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
AS Roma
AS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
54%
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Atalanta
ATA
AS Roma
AS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
3.00 away
Atalanta scored 4 in 3 home games
AS Roma scored 6 in 2 away games
Atalanta
ATA
AS Roma
AS
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
Atalanta conceded 3 in 3 home games
AS Roma conceded 0 in 2 away games
Atalanta
ATA
AS Roma
AS
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
AS Roma
AS
League
Corners
Corners won
2.80
5.80
–
Corners conceded
5.20
1.80
–
Match total
8.00
7.60
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.00
1.60
–
Opponent cards
0.20
1.60
–
Match total
1.20
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
20.60
–
Opponent shots
19.20
9.20
–
Match total
31.00
29.80
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
7.00
–
Opponent on target
6.20
3.40
–
Match total
9.60
10.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.60
13.00
–
Opponent fouls
10.00
8.80
–
Match total
19.60
21.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
3.80
–
Opponent offsides
3.00
1.60
–
Match total
4.00
5.40
–
Possession
All games
48%
58%
–
Home games
53%
59%
–
Away games
41%
56%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 5
20%
0%
20%
20%
20%
20%
Conceded · 7
0%
29%
0%
14%
14%
43%
AS Roma
Scored · 14
14%
22%
14%
14%
7%
29%
Conceded · 3
0%
0%
0%
67%
0%
33%
60%
Scored first
80%
20%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Atalanta 3 of 5, AS Roma 4 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 3
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.60
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 1 games
3
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 5 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
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