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23 May 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
55%
31%
14%
Atalanta 55%
Draw 31%
Lecce 14%
1.2 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
23% chance
Most Likely Score
24%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atalanta · at home
Lecce · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.90x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.47x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Juventus (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
67%
11%
22%
Atalanta wins 6
Draws 1
Lecce wins 2
Goals 25 (2.78 per game)
Goals 9 (1.00 per game)
89%
8
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
4
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Both Teams Scored
33%
3
of 9
Atalanta Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 9
Lecce Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
L
W
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
2.00
2-0-1
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Atalanta at home +100% on points per game vs Lecce away (2.00 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
245
days rest
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
245
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
40%
67%
0%
Goals per game
2.40
2.33
2.50
Scored
1.00
1.33
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
33%
0%
Failed to score
20%
0%
50%
xG
0.81
0.92
0.65
xGA
1.87
1.69
2.14
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atalanta
ATA
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
Atalanta
ATA
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.67 away
Atalanta scored 4 in 3 home games
Lecce scored 2 in 3 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.33 away
Atalanta conceded 3 in 3 home games
Lecce conceded 4 in 3 away games
Atalanta
ATA
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Atalanta
ATA
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
2.80
3.40
–
Corners conceded
5.20
4.20
–
Match total
8.00
7.60
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.00
2.00
–
Opponent cards
0.20
0.60
–
Match total
1.20
2.60
3.26
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
8.40
–
Opponent shots
19.20
16.60
–
Match total
31.00
25.00
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
3.40
–
Opponent on target
6.20
7.80
–
Match total
9.60
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.60
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
10.00
9.40
–
Match total
19.60
22.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
0.80
–
Opponent offsides
3.00
4.80
–
Match total
4.00
5.60
–
Possession
All games
48%
39%
–
Home games
53%
38%
–
Away games
41%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atalanta
Scored · 5
20%
0%
20%
20%
20%
20%
Conceded · 7
0%
29%
0%
14%
14%
43%
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
60%
Scored first
40%
20%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Atalanta 3 of 5, Lecce 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 3
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
0
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
