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28 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
9%
88%
Athletic Club 3%
Draw 9%
Barcelona 88%
0.5 – 3.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-3
13% chance
Most Likely Score
72%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BIL · at home
Barcelona · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
4.25
1.00
Goals conceded per game
0.75
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
3.19x
0.75x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.44x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 6 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sevilla (A) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
11%
89%
Athletic Club wins 0
Draws 1
Barcelona wins 8
Goals 2 (0.22 per game)
Goals 22 (2.44 per game)
78%
7
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
56%
5
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
2
of 9
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 9
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
78%
7
of 9
Barcelona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
3.00
7-0-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
3.00
4-0-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Barcelona away +140% on points per game vs Athletic Club at home (3.00 vs 1.25)
Rest & Schedule
162
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
162
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
100%
100%
100%
Goals per game
5.43
6.00
5.00
Scored
4.43
4.67
4.25
Conceded
1.00
1.33
0.75
Both teams scored
57%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
43%
33%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
4.07
4.67
3.63
xGA
1.09
1.15
1.05
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Athletic Club
BIL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 5/6
100% 7/7
92%
–
Over 1.5
83% 5/6
100% 7/7
92%
77%
Over 2.5
33% 2/6
86% 6/7
60%
57%
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
86% 6/7
51%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/6
71% 5/7
36%
–
Under 2.5
67% 4/6
14% 1/7
40%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
33% 2/6
57% 4/7
45%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/6
57% 4/7
29%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
17% 1/6
57% 4/7
37%
–
Athletic Club
BIL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
50% 3/6
100% 7/7
75%
–
Over 1.5
17% 1/6
86% 6/7
51%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/6
29% 2/7
14%
–
BTTS
0% 0/6
43% 3/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
4.25 away
Athletic Club scored 5 in 4 home games
Barcelona scored 17 in 4 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Barcelona
BAR
Scored over 0.5
67% 4/6
100% 7/7
Scored over 1.5
33% 2/6
100% 7/7
Scored over 2.5
17% 1/6
86% 6/7
Failed to score
33% 2/6
0% 0/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.75 away
Athletic Club conceded 4 in 4 home games
Barcelona conceded 3 in 4 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Barcelona
BAR
Conceded over 0.5
50% 3/6
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
33% 2/6
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
50% 3/6
43% 3/7
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
7
Won all 7 this season
7
Scored all 7 this season
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Conceded in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Athletic Club
BIL
Barcelona
BAR
League
Corners
Corners won
6.17
7.43
–
Corners conceded
4.83
2.57
–
Match total
11.00
10.00
9.65
Over 8.5
67% 4/6
43% 3/7
–
Over 9.5
67% 4/6
43% 3/7
–
Over 10.5
67% 4/6
43% 3/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.17
1.14
–
Opponent cards
1.67
1.29
–
Match total
3.83
2.43
4.42
Over 3.5
33% 2/6
29% 2/7
–
Over 4.5
33% 2/6
14% 1/7
–
Shots
Shots
15.67
21.43
–
Opponent shots
9.50
7.29
–
Match total
25.17
28.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.67
8.29
–
Opponent on target
3.67
3.14
–
Match total
8.33
11.43
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.17
9.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.33
10.14
–
Match total
22.50
19.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
3.57
–
Opponent offsides
3.67
3.57
–
Match total
5.17
7.14
–
Possession
All games
53%
68%
–
Home games
60%
69%
–
Away games
38%
68%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
Barcelona
Scored · 31
13%
19%
13%
13%
16%
26%
Conceded · 7
14%
29%
0%
14%
14%
29%
40%
Scored first
71%
29%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Athletic Club 2 of 5, Barcelona 5 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
At half-time
86%14%
Leading 6
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.71
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 17
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 2 games
6
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 7 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
