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21 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
17%
65%
18%
Athletic Club 17%
Draw 65%
Celta Vigo 18%
0.2 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
61% chance
Most Likely Score
1%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
5%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BIL · at home
CEL · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.33
1.00
Goals conceded per game
0.33
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.25x
0.75x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.19x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 6 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Racing Santander (H) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
63%
38%
Athletic Club wins 5
Draws 0
Celta Vigo wins 3
Goals 10 (1.25 per game)
Goals 8 (1.00 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
1
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Both Teams Scored
25%
2
of 8
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
38%
3
of 8
Celta Vigo Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
L
D
1.00
1-4-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
1.00
0-3-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Athletic Club at home +25% on points per game vs Celta Vigo away (1.25 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
155
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
155
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
3.00
0.67
Scored
1.14
1.75
0.33
Conceded
0.86
1.25
0.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
25%
67%
Failed to score
43%
25%
67%
xG
1.01
1.23
0.71
xGA
1.26
1.64
0.76
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Athletic Club
BIL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 5/6
71% 5/7
77%
–
Over 1.5
83% 5/6
71% 5/7
77%
77%
Over 2.5
33% 2/6
29% 2/7
31%
57%
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
14% 1/7
15%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/6
14% 1/7
7%
–
Under 2.5
67% 4/6
71% 5/7
69%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
33% 2/6
43% 3/7
38%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/6
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
17% 1/6
14% 1/7
15%
–
Athletic Club
BIL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
50% 3/6
71% 5/7
61%
–
Over 1.5
17% 1/6
29% 2/7
23%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/6
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS
0% 0/6
0% 0/7
0%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.33 away
Athletic Club scored 5 in 4 home games
Celta Vigo scored 1 in 3 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Scored over 0.5
67% 4/6
57% 4/7
Scored over 1.5
33% 2/6
14% 1/7
Scored over 2.5
17% 1/6
14% 1/7
Failed to score
33% 2/6
43% 3/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
0.33 away
Athletic Club conceded 4 in 4 home games
Celta Vigo conceded 1 in 3 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Celta Vigo
CEL
Conceded over 0.5
50% 3/6
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
33% 2/6
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
50% 3/6
43% 3/7
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Athletic Club
BIL
Celta Vigo
CEL
League
Corners
Corners won
6.17
3.29
–
Corners conceded
4.83
4.71
–
Match total
11.00
8.00
9.65
Over 8.5
67% 4/6
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
67% 4/6
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
67% 4/6
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.17
1.71
–
Opponent cards
1.67
2.57
–
Match total
3.83
4.29
4.42
Over 3.5
33% 2/6
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
33% 2/6
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
15.67
10.29
–
Opponent shots
9.50
12.43
–
Match total
25.17
22.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.67
3.71
–
Opponent on target
3.67
4.00
–
Match total
8.33
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.17
10.71
–
Opponent fouls
11.33
13.43
–
Match total
22.50
24.14
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
3.00
–
Opponent offsides
3.67
1.43
–
Match total
5.17
4.43
–
Possession
All games
53%
53%
–
Home games
60%
48%
–
Away games
38%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
Celta Vigo
Scored · 8
13%
0%
38%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 6
0%
50%
0%
17%
17%
16%
40%
Scored first
60%
29%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Athletic Club 2 of 5, Celta Vigo 3 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.57
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 3 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
