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9 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
71%
25%
Athletic Club 71%
Draw 25%
Malaga 4%
1.5 – 0.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
28% chance
Most Likely Score
23%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
13%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
BIL · at home
MAL · away
1.25
Goals scored per game
0.25
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.73x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.19x
0.75x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.17x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 6 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Getafe (A) 1-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
0.43
0-3-4
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Athletic Club at home +400% on points per game vs Malaga away (1.25 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
232
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
231
days rest
Getafe 1-0 Malaga
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.14
2.00
2.25
Scored
0.43
0.67
0.25
Conceded
1.71
1.33
2.00
Both teams scored
43%
67%
25%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
57%
33%
75%
xG
0.84
1.35
0.45
xGA
1.66
1.75
1.60
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Athletic Club
BIL
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 5/6
86% 6/7
85%
–
Over 1.5
83% 5/6
71% 5/7
77%
77%
Over 2.5
33% 2/6
29% 2/7
31%
57%
Over 3.5
17% 1/6
29% 2/7
23%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/6
0% 0/7
0%
–
Under 2.5
67% 4/6
71% 5/7
69%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
33% 2/6
43% 3/7
38%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/6
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
17% 1/6
14% 1/7
15%
–
Athletic Club
BIL
Malaga
MAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
50% 3/6
57% 4/7
54%
–
Over 1.5
17% 1/6
43% 3/7
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/6
29% 2/7
14%
–
BTTS
0% 0/6
29% 2/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.25 at home
0.25 away
Athletic Club scored 5 in 4 home games
Malaga scored 1 in 4 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Malaga
MAL
Scored over 0.5
67% 4/6
43% 3/7
Scored over 1.5
33% 2/6
0% 0/7
Scored over 2.5
17% 1/6
0% 0/7
Failed to score
33% 2/6
57% 4/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.00 away
Athletic Club conceded 4 in 4 home games
Malaga conceded 8 in 4 away games
Athletic Club
BIL
Malaga
MAL
Conceded over 0.5
50% 3/6
86% 6/7
Conceded over 1.5
33% 2/6
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
17% 1/6
29% 2/7
Clean sheets
50% 3/6
14% 1/7
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
7
Without a win all 7 this season
3
Conceded in a row
Match Totals
Athletic Club
BIL
Malaga
MAL
League
Corners
Corners won
6.17
5.43
–
Corners conceded
4.83
5.29
–
Match total
11.00
10.71
9.65
Over 8.5
67% 4/6
71% 5/7
–
Over 9.5
67% 4/6
71% 5/7
–
Over 10.5
67% 4/6
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.17
2.57
–
Opponent cards
1.67
2.00
–
Match total
3.83
4.57
4.42
Over 3.5
33% 2/6
71% 5/7
–
Over 4.5
33% 2/6
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
15.67
10.00
–
Opponent shots
9.50
14.86
–
Match total
25.17
24.86
26.46
Shots on target
On target
4.67
2.00
–
Opponent on target
3.67
5.71
–
Match total
8.33
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.17
12.86
–
Opponent fouls
11.33
11.71
–
Match total
22.50
24.57
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.29
–
Opponent offsides
3.67
2.14
–
Match total
5.17
3.43
–
Possession
All games
53%
51%
–
Home games
60%
52%
–
Away games
38%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
Malaga
Scored · 3
34%
0%
33%
0%
0%
33%
Conceded · 12
0%
34%
25%
0%
8%
33%
40%
Scored first
17%
29%
Goals after 75'
33%
Scored first: Athletic Club 2 of 5, Malaga 1 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 1
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 6 games
2
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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