|
8 Nov 2026-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
16%
18%
66%
Atletico Madrid 16%
Draw 18%
Barcelona 66%
1.1 – 2.4
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
10% chance
Most Likely Score
68%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Atletico Madrid · at home
Barcelona · away
2.50
Goals scored per game
4.25
0.75
Goals conceded per game
0.75
1.46x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
3.19x
0.56x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.44x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Madrid (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Sevilla (A) 1-3 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
25%
75%
Atletico Madrid wins 2
Draws 0
Barcelona wins 6
Goals 10 (1.25 per game)
Goals 16 (2.00 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
63%
5
of 8
Both Teams Scored
13%
1
of 8
Atletico Madrid Clean Sheets
25%
2
of 8
Barcelona Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
D
W
2.29
5-1-1
PPG Overall
2.50
3-1-0
PPG at Home
2.00
2-0-1
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
3.00
7-0-0
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
3.00
4-0-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Barcelona away +20% on points per game vs Atletico Madrid at home (3.00 vs 2.50)
Rest & Schedule
49
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
50
days rest
Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
71%
75%
67%
Goals per game
3.29
3.25
3.33
Scored
2.29
2.50
2.00
Conceded
1.00
0.75
1.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
50%
33%
Failed to score
14%
0%
33%
xG
1.72
2.01
1.33
xGA
1.02
1.13
0.86
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
100%
100%
100%
Goals per game
5.43
6.00
5.00
Scored
4.43
4.67
4.25
Conceded
1.00
1.33
0.75
Both teams scored
57%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
43%
33%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
4.07
4.67
3.63
xGA
1.09
1.15
1.05
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
86% 6/7
64%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
71% 5/7
36%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
58%
BTTS & win
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Barcelona
BAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
29% 2/7
100% 7/7
64%
–
Over 1.5
14% 1/7
86% 6/7
50%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.50 at home
4.25 away
Atletico Madrid scored 10 in 4 home games
Barcelona scored 17 in 4 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Barcelona
BAR
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
Scored over 1.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
Scored over 2.5
43% 3/7
86% 6/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.75 at home
0.75 away
Atletico Madrid conceded 3 in 4 home games
Barcelona conceded 3 in 4 away games
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Barcelona
BAR
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
3
Won in a row
6
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Scored in a row
7
Won all 7 this season
7
Scored all 7 this season
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Conceded in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Atletico Madrid
ATL
Barcelona
BAR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
7.43
–
Corners conceded
3.00
2.57
–
Match total
8.00
10.00
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.86
1.14
–
Opponent cards
2.00
1.29
–
Match total
3.86
2.43
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
14% 1/7
–
Shots
Shots
17.00
21.43
–
Opponent shots
9.71
7.29
–
Match total
26.71
28.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
6.43
8.29
–
Opponent on target
3.29
3.14
–
Match total
9.71
11.43
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.29
9.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.86
10.14
–
Match total
24.14
19.71
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.71
3.57
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
3.57
–
Match total
2.86
7.14
–
Possession
All games
57%
68%
–
Home games
59%
69%
–
Away games
55%
68%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Atletico Madrid
Scored · 16
6%
13%
6%
25%
13%
37%
Conceded · 7
0%
0%
0%
29%
28%
43%
Barcelona
Scored · 31
13%
19%
13%
13%
16%
26%
Conceded · 7
14%
29%
0%
14%
14%
29%
86%
Scored first
71%
38%
Goals after 75'
26%
Scored first: Atletico Madrid 6 of 7, Barcelona 5 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 12
At half-time
86%14%
Leading 6
Level 1
Trailing 0
2.71
points per game
At half-time
100%
6 of 6
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 17
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 2 games
6
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 6 · 7 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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