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10 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
43%
30%
27%
Auxerre 43%
Draw 30%
Nice 27%
1.2 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
34%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
AUX · at home
NIC · away
1.00
Goals scored per game
1.06
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.94
0.62x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.87x
0.82x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.20x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 32 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Angers (H) 3-1 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
44
Last game lineup
5-4-1
vs Lens (H) 1-1 · 2 May 2026
37
32
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Auxerre wins 0
Draws 2
Nice wins 1
Goals 3 (1.00 per game)
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
1
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Auxerre Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Nice Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
L
0.88
6-10-16
PPG Overall
1.19
5-4-7
PPG at Home
0.56
1-6-9
PPG Away
D
D
D
D
L
D
D
D
D
L
L
W
L
L
D
0.97
7-10-15
PPG Overall
1.19
4-7-5
PPG at Home
0.75
3-3-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Auxerre at home +59% on points per game vs Nice away (1.19 vs 0.75)
Rest & Schedule
7
days rest
Auxerre 3-1 Angers
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
8
days rest
Nice 1-1 Lens
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
19%
31%
6%
Goals per game
2.28
2.00
2.56
Scored
0.94
1.00
0.88
Conceded
1.34
1.00
1.69
Both teams scored
41%
31%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
44%
6%
Failed to score
50%
50%
50%
xG
1.02
1.19
0.85
xGA
1.31
1.15
1.48
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
22%
25%
19%
Goals per game
2.94
2.88
3.00
Scored
1.13
1.19
1.06
Conceded
1.81
1.69
1.94
Both teams scored
59%
56%
63%
Clean sheets
16%
19%
13%
Failed to score
31%
31%
31%
xG
1.22
1.39
1.05
xGA
1.71
1.65
1.76
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Auxerre
AUX
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
84% 27/32
94% 30/32
89%
–
Over 1.5
59% 19/32
78% 25/32
69%
72%
Over 2.5
44% 14/32
50% 16/32
47%
53%
Over 3.5
28% 9/32
44% 14/32
36%
33%
Over 4.5
6% 2/32
19% 6/32
13%
–
Under 2.5
56% 18/32
50% 16/32
53%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
41% 13/32
59% 19/32
50%
51%
BTTS & win
9% 3/32
13% 4/32
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
34% 11/32
44% 14/32
39%
–
Auxerre
AUX
Nice
NIC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
63% 20/32
75% 24/32
69%
–
Over 1.5
28% 9/32
41% 13/32
34%
–
Over 2.5
13% 4/32
25% 8/32
19%
–
BTTS
22% 7/32
22% 7/32
22%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.06 away
Auxerre scored 16 in 16 home games
Nice scored 17 in 16 away games
Auxerre
AUX
Nice
NIC
Scored over 0.5
50% 16/32
69% 22/32
Scored over 1.5
28% 9/32
28% 9/32
Scored over 2.5
16% 5/32
13% 4/32
Failed to score
50% 16/32
31% 10/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.94 away
Auxerre conceded 16 in 16 home games
Nice conceded 31 in 16 away games
Auxerre
AUX
Nice
NIC
Conceded over 0.5
75% 24/32
84% 27/32
Conceded over 1.5
41% 13/32
47% 15/32
Conceded over 2.5
16% 5/32
28% 9/32
Clean sheets
25% 8/32
16% 5/32
Streaks
Match Totals
Auxerre
AUX
Nice
NIC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.59
5.03
–
Corners conceded
4.66
5.65
–
Match total
9.25
10.68
9.49
Over 8.5
63% 20/32
71% 22/31
–
Over 9.5
41% 13/32
65% 20/31
–
Over 10.5
28% 9/32
48% 15/31
–
Cards
Cards
2.16
2.16
–
Opponent cards
2.72
2.09
–
Match total
4.88
4.25
3.97
Over 3.5
75% 24/32
63% 20/32
–
Over 4.5
50% 16/32
38% 12/32
–
Shots
Shots
10.59
10.78
–
Opponent shots
11.41
14.69
–
Match total
22.00
25.47
24.23
Shots on target
On target
3.69
3.84
–
Opponent on target
4.28
5.09
–
Match total
7.97
8.94
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.44
12.38
–
Opponent fouls
13.63
11.41
–
Match total
27.06
23.78
–
Possession
All games
44%
46%
–
Home games
43%
45%
–
Away games
45%
47%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Auxerre
Scored · 30
20%
10%
20%
10%
23%
17%
Conceded · 43
9%
21%
14%
16%
12%
28%
Nice
Scored · 36
11%
17%
22%
20%
11%
19%
Conceded · 58
16%
10%
22%
16%
15%
21%
37%
Scored first
40%
17%
Goals after 75'
19%
Scored first: Auxerre 10 of 27, Nice 12 of 30 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
19%53%28%
Leading 6
Level 17
Trailing 9
1.09
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 15
At half-time
28%25%47%
Leading 9
Level 8
Trailing 15
1.09
points per game
At half-time
56%
5 of 9
Led at HT, won
20%
3 of 15
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 18
2
Points won from losing positions in 18 · 20 games
5
11
Points dropped from winning positions in 11 · 12 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
