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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
20%
70%
Bologna 10%
Draw 20%
Inter 70%
0.6 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
15% chance
Most Likely Score
48%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Bologna · at home
Inter · away
0.89
Goals scored per game
2.00
1.11
Goals conceded per game
0.89
0.69x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.78x
0.99x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.69x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 36 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Cagliari (H) 0-0 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
12
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Lazio (A) 0-3 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
20%
50%
Bologna wins 3
Draws 2
Inter wins 5
Goals 12 (1.20 per game)
Goals 24 (2.40 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
Bologna Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
L
L
W
W
D
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
1.40
14-7-14
PPG Overall
1.17
6-3-9
PPG at Home
1.65
8-4-5
PPG Away
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
D
L
W
2.36
27-4-5
PPG Overall
2.44
14-2-2
PPG at Home
2.28
13-2-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter away +95% on points per game vs Bologna at home (2.28 vs 1.17)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Bologna 0-0 Cagliari
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
15
days rest
Lazio 0-3 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
40%
33%
47%
Goals per game
2.37
2.00
2.76
Scored
1.20
0.89
1.53
Conceded
1.17
1.11
1.24
Both teams scored
43%
28%
59%
Clean sheets
31%
39%
24%
Failed to score
31%
44%
18%
xG
1.15
1.26
1.04
xGA
1.16
1.15
1.17
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
75%
78%
72%
Goals per game
3.22
3.56
2.89
Scored
2.36
2.72
2.00
Conceded
0.86
0.83
0.89
Both teams scored
44%
50%
39%
Clean sheets
50%
44%
56%
Failed to score
6%
6%
6%
xG
1.85
2.16
1.54
xGA
0.88
0.74
1.02
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 33/35
100% 36/36
97%
–
Over 1.5
71% 25/35
83% 30/36
77%
70%
Over 2.5
43% 15/35
56% 20/36
49%
45%
Over 3.5
23% 8/35
36% 13/36
29%
22%
Over 4.5
6% 2/35
22% 8/36
14%
–
Under 2.5
57% 20/35
44% 16/36
51%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 15/35
44% 16/36
44%
45%
BTTS & win
14% 5/35
25% 9/36
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
34% 12/35
39% 14/36
37%
–
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
51% 18/35
81% 29/36
66%
–
Over 1.5
29% 10/35
39% 14/36
34%
–
Over 2.5
9% 3/35
14% 5/36
11%
–
BTTS
14% 5/35
22% 8/36
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.89 at home
2.00 away
Bologna scored 16 in 18 home games
Inter scored 36 in 18 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Scored over 0.5
69% 24/35
94% 34/36
Scored over 1.5
37% 13/35
72% 26/36
Scored over 2.5
11% 4/35
36% 13/36
Failed to score
31% 11/35
6% 2/36
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.11 at home
0.89 away
Bologna conceded 20 in 18 home games
Inter conceded 16 in 18 away games
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
Conceded over 0.5
69% 24/35
50% 18/36
Conceded over 1.5
37% 13/35
25% 9/36
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/35
8% 3/36
Clean sheets
31% 11/35
50% 18/36
Streaks
Match Totals
Bologna
BOL
Inter
INT
League
Corners
Corners won
4.59
6.22
–
Corners conceded
4.29
2.94
–
Match total
8.88
9.17
8.83
Over 8.5
56% 19/34
58% 21/36
–
Over 9.5
38% 13/34
56% 20/36
–
Over 10.5
29% 10/34
44% 16/36
–
Cards
Cards
1.89
1.67
–
Opponent cards
2.11
1.72
–
Match total
4.00
3.39
3.88
Over 3.5
51% 18/35
33% 12/36
–
Over 4.5
43% 15/35
19% 7/36
–
Shots
Shots
13.00
17.11
–
Opponent shots
9.83
8.89
–
Match total
22.83
26.00
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.88
6.03
–
Opponent on target
3.72
3.32
–
Match total
7.59
9.35
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.71
13.03
–
Opponent fouls
14.23
10.81
–
Match total
26.94
23.83
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
1.96
–
Opponent offsides
2.68
1.81
–
Match total
5.08
3.77
–
Possession
All games
56%
60%
–
Home games
57%
59%
–
Away games
54%
60%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Bologna
Scored · 42
5%
17%
19%
26%
14%
19%
Conceded · 41
12%
5%
20%
20%
24%
19%
Inter
Scored · 85
14%
12%
16%
16%
18%
24%
Conceded · 31
6%
13%
26%
6%
13%
36%
48%
Scored first
83%
19%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Bologna 16 of 33, Inter 30 of 36 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
23%57%20%
Leading 8
Level 20
Trailing 7
1.26
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 7
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 25
At half-time
58%28%14%
Leading 21
Level 10
Trailing 5
2.03
points per game
At half-time
86%
18 of 21
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 362nd 49
11
Points won from losing positions in 19 · 7 games
6
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 20 · 33 games
14
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
