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6 Mar 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
58%
24%
18%
Borussia Dortmund 58%
Draw 24%
Bayern Munich 18%
1.7 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
14% chance
Most Likely Score
46%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Borussia Dortmund · at home
Bayern Munich · away
3.67
Goals scored per game
1.40
0.67
Goals conceded per game
1.20
1.41x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.22x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.46x
Average: 2.60 home goals and 1.15 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Union Berlin (H) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
10%
10%
80%
Borussia Dortmund wins 1
Draws 1
Bayern Munich wins 8
Goals 14 (1.40 per game)
Goals 31 (3.10 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
9
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
90%
9
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 10
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Bayern Munich Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
Points on these 2
4 of 6 · 2.00 per game
3 of 6 · 1.50 per game
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
2.20
7-1-2
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund at home +34% on points per game vs Bayern Munich away (2.67 vs 2.00)
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
168
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
169
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
80%
60%
Goals per game
3.80
5.00
2.60
Scored
2.80
4.20
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.80
1.20
Both teams scored
60%
40%
80%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
10%
0%
20%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
90% 9/10
90%
86%
Over 2.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
50%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
30% 3/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
45%
–
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
40%
–
Over 2.5
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
5%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.67 at home
1.40 away
Borussia Dortmund scored 22 in 6 home games
Bayern Munich scored 7 in 5 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
Scored over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
Scored over 2.5
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
0% 0/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.20 away
Borussia Dortmund conceded 4 in 6 home games
Bayern Munich conceded 6 in 5 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
Conceded over 0.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/10
20% 2/10
Clean sheets
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
5
Unbeaten last loss 6 games ago
2
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Bayern Munich
BAY
League
Corners
Corners won
6.40
8.70
–
Corners conceded
4.10
2.40
–
Match total
10.50
11.10
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
90% 9/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
0.80
–
Opponent cards
1.80
2.10
–
Match total
3.70
2.90
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
30% 3/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
0% 0/10
–
Shots
Shots
19.70
18.40
–
Opponent shots
10.70
8.00
–
Match total
30.40
26.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
7.10
6.33
–
Opponent on target
3.60
2.67
–
Match total
10.70
9.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.90
8.80
–
Opponent fouls
12.20
10.40
–
Match total
22.10
19.20
–
Possession
All games
56%
68%
–
Home games
58%
66%
–
Away games
54%
70%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
Bayern Munich
Scored · 28
4%
25%
7%
14%
25%
25%
Conceded · 10
0%
0%
0%
10%
40%
50%
67%
Scored first
100%
28%
Goals after 75'
25%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9, Bayern Munich 9 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
At half-time
70%30%
Leading 7
Level 3
Trailing 0
2.40
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 18
5
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 2 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 9 games
6
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Bayern Munich: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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