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27 Feb 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
97%
Borussia Dortmund 97%
Draw 2%
Union Berlin 1%
4.7 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
4-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
88%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Borussia Dortmund · at home
Union Berlin · away
3.67
Goals scored per game
0.60
0.67
Goals conceded per game
3.20
1.47x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.52x
0.58x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.28x
Average: 2.50 home goals and 1.15 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayern Munich (A) 7-0 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
63%
38%
Borussia Dortmund wins 5
Draws 0
Union Berlin wins 3
Goals 18 (2.25 per game)
Goals 10 (1.25 per game)
100%
8
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
6
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Both Teams Scored
38%
3
of 8
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
13%
1
of 8
Union Berlin Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
Points on these 4
12 of 12 · 3.00 per game
4 of 12 · 1.00 per game
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
L
L
L
D
W
L
L
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
1.60
2-2-1
PPG at Home
0.60
1-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Borussia Dortmund at home +345% on points per game vs Union Berlin away (2.67 vs 0.60)
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
161
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
162
days rest
Bayern Munich 7-0 Union Berlin
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
40%
20%
Goals per game
3.60
3.40
3.80
Scored
1.20
1.80
0.60
Conceded
2.40
1.60
3.20
Both teams scored
40%
60%
20%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
20%
Failed to score
40%
20%
60%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
90% 9/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
70%
–
Over 1.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
35%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.67 at home
Borussia Dortmund scored 22 in 6 home games
Union Berlin scored 3 in 5 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
Scored over 0.5
100% 10/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 1.5
80% 8/10
30% 3/10
Scored over 2.5
60% 6/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
0% 0/10
40% 4/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.67 at home
3.20 away
Borussia Dortmund conceded 4 in 6 home games
Union Berlin conceded 16 in 5 away games
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
Conceded over 0.5
40% 4/10
70% 7/10
Conceded over 1.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/10
50% 5/10
Clean sheets
60% 6/10
30% 3/10
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
4
Without a win last win 5 games ago
4
Conceded in a row
4
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Union Berlin
UNI
League
Corners
Corners won
6.40
4.70
–
Corners conceded
4.10
4.40
–
Match total
10.50
9.10
10.86
Over 8.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 9.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
–
Over 10.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
2.40
–
Opponent cards
1.80
2.20
–
Match total
3.70
4.60
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
90% 9/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
–
Shots
Shots
19.70
12.00
–
Opponent shots
10.70
13.30
–
Match total
30.40
25.30
31.03
Shots on target
On target
7.10
3.90
–
Opponent on target
3.60
6.00
–
Match total
10.70
9.90
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.90
11.90
–
Opponent fouls
12.20
10.80
–
Match total
22.10
22.70
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
2.13
–
Opponent offsides
2.13
1.88
–
Match total
3.63
4.00
–
Possession
All games
56%
46%
–
Home games
58%
46%
–
Away games
54%
45%
–
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
Union Berlin
Scored · 12
17%
0%
25%
8%
0%
50%
Conceded · 24
12%
17%
12%
21%
21%
17%
67%
Scored first
44%
28%
Goals after 75'
50%
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9, Union Berlin 4 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
At half-time
10%40%50%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 5
0.70
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 7
5
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 6 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 4 games
2
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (Borussia Dortmund: 4, Union Berlin: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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