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17 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
51%
25%
24%
Cagliari 51%
Draw 25%
Torino 24%
1.5 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
13% chance
Most Likely Score
46%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Cagliari · at home
Torino · away
1.11
Goals scored per game
0.89
1.22
Goals conceded per game
1.78
0.87x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.79x
1.09x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.39x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 36 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Udinese (H) 0-2 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
40
18
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Sassuolo (H) 2-1 · 8 May 2026
Substitutes
79
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
20%
30%
Cagliari wins 5
Draws 2
Torino wins 3
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
Goals 14 (1.40 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Cagliari Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Torino Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
1.03
9-10-17
PPG Overall
1.22
6-4-8
PPG at Home
0.83
3-6-9
PPG Away
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
W
L
W
1.22
12-8-16
PPG Overall
1.50
8-3-7
PPG at Home
0.94
4-5-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Cagliari at home +30% on points per game vs Torino away (1.22 vs 0.94)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Cagliari 0-2 Udinese
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
9
days rest
Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
25%
33%
17%
Goals per game
2.42
2.33
2.50
Scored
1.00
1.11
0.89
Conceded
1.42
1.22
1.61
Both teams scored
47%
33%
61%
Clean sheets
22%
33%
11%
Failed to score
39%
39%
39%
xG
0.93
0.88
0.98
xGA
1.36
1.23
1.50
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
33%
44%
22%
Goals per game
2.78
2.89
2.67
Scored
1.14
1.39
0.89
Conceded
1.64
1.50
1.78
Both teams scored
47%
61%
33%
Clean sheets
33%
28%
39%
Failed to score
31%
17%
44%
xG
1.20
1.40
1.01
xGA
1.37
1.50
1.24
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Cagliari
CAG
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
92% 33/36
89% 32/36
90%
–
Over 1.5
75% 27/36
72% 26/36
74%
70%
Over 2.5
47% 17/36
61% 22/36
54%
45%
Over 3.5
19% 7/36
28% 10/36
24%
22%
Over 4.5
6% 2/36
19% 7/36
13%
–
Under 2.5
53% 19/36
39% 14/36
46%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
47% 17/36
47% 17/36
47%
45%
BTTS & win
11% 4/36
11% 4/36
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
39% 14/36
47% 17/36
43%
–
Cagliari
CAG
Torino
TOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
58% 21/36
72% 26/36
65%
–
Over 1.5
19% 7/36
36% 13/36
28%
–
Over 2.5
8% 3/36
11% 4/36
10%
–
BTTS
14% 5/36
22% 8/36
18%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.11 at home
0.89 away
Cagliari scored 20 in 18 home games
Torino scored 16 in 18 away games
Cagliari
CAG
Torino
TOR
Scored over 0.5
61% 22/36
69% 25/36
Scored over 1.5
28% 10/36
33% 12/36
Scored over 2.5
8% 3/36
8% 3/36
Failed to score
39% 14/36
31% 11/36
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.22 at home
1.78 away
Cagliari conceded 22 in 18 home games
Torino conceded 32 in 18 away games
Cagliari
CAG
Torino
TOR
Conceded over 0.5
78% 28/36
67% 24/36
Conceded over 1.5
53% 19/36
56% 20/36
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/36
22% 8/36
Clean sheets
22% 8/36
33% 12/36
Streaks
Match Totals
Cagliari
CAG
Torino
TOR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.94
3.65
–
Corners conceded
4.88
4.79
–
Match total
8.82
8.44
8.83
Over 8.5
59% 20/34
47% 16/34
–
Over 9.5
32% 11/34
38% 13/34
–
Over 10.5
24% 8/34
29% 10/34
–
Cards
Cards
2.19
1.94
–
Opponent cards
1.72
1.44
–
Match total
3.92
3.39
3.88
Over 3.5
58% 21/36
50% 18/36
–
Over 4.5
36% 13/36
22% 8/36
–
Shots
Shots
10.47
11.75
–
Opponent shots
12.72
13.53
–
Match total
23.19
25.28
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.58
3.92
–
Opponent on target
4.67
4.44
–
Match total
8.24
8.36
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.64
13.92
–
Opponent fouls
14.67
10.58
–
Match total
28.31
24.50
–
Possession
All games
46%
44%
–
Home games
45%
46%
–
Away games
46%
42%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Cagliari
Scored · 36
6%
8%
22%
17%
25%
22%
Conceded · 51
16%
12%
12%
19%
14%
27%
Torino
Scored · 41
10%
17%
12%
17%
17%
27%
Conceded · 59
8%
20%
19%
19%
20%
14%
33%
Scored first
44%
22%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Cagliari 11 of 33, Torino 14 of 32 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%53%33%
Leading 5
Level 19
Trailing 12
0.94
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 23
At half-time
19%44%36%
Leading 7
Level 16
Trailing 13
1.03
points per game
At half-time
71%
5 of 7
Led at HT, won
23%
3 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 25
11
Points won from losing positions in 24 · 22 games
10
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 15 · 16 games
10
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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