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14 Feb 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
75%
14%
11%
Celta Vigo 75%
Draw 14%
Rayo Vallecano 11%
3.1 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
3-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
80%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
CEL · at home
RAY · away
1.75
Goals scored per game
1.25
1.25
Goals conceded per game
3.00
1.02x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.94x
0.94x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.75x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Racing Santander (H) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Osasuna (A) 1-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
38%
38%
25%
Celta Vigo wins 3
Draws 3
Rayo Vallecano wins 2
Goals 11 (1.38 per game)
Goals 5 (0.63 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Both Teams Scored
63%
5
of 8
Celta Vigo Clean Sheets
25%
2
of 8
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
L
D
1.00
1-4-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
1.00
0-3-0
PPG Away
D
W
L
W
L
D
W
L
W
L
D
L
1.14
2-2-3
PPG Overall
2.33
2-1-0
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
Venue form: Celta Vigo at home +300% on points per game vs Rayo Vallecano away (1.00 vs 0.25)
Rest & Schedule
148
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
148
days rest
Osasuna 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
3.00
0.67
Scored
1.14
1.75
0.33
Conceded
0.86
1.25
0.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
25%
67%
Failed to score
43%
25%
67%
xG
1.01
1.23
0.71
xGA
1.26
1.64
0.76
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
29%
67%
0%
Goals per game
3.86
3.33
4.25
Scored
1.57
2.00
1.25
Conceded
2.29
1.33
3.00
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.27
1.18
1.33
xGA
1.76
1.32
2.10
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
100% 7/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
100% 7/7
86%
77%
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
50%
57%
Over 3.5
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
29%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
29%
–
Under 2.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
50%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
100% 7/7
71%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 1/7
71% 5/7
43%
–
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
21%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.75 at home
1.25 away
Celta Vigo scored 7 in 4 home games
Rayo Vallecano scored 5 in 4 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Scored over 0.5
57% 4/7
100% 7/7
Scored over 1.5
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
43% 3/7
0% 0/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.25 at home
3.00 away
Celta Vigo conceded 5 in 4 home games
Rayo Vallecano conceded 12 in 4 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
100% 7/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
0% 0/7
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
3
Scored in a row
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
7
Scored all 7 this season
7
Conceded all 7 this season
7
Both teams scored all 7 this season
Match Totals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
League
Corners
Corners won
3.29
5.29
–
Corners conceded
4.71
6.14
–
Match total
8.00
11.43
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.71
2.71
–
Opponent cards
2.57
2.00
–
Match total
4.29
4.71
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
10.29
13.43
–
Opponent shots
12.43
16.57
–
Match total
22.71
30.00
26.46
Shots on target
On target
3.71
4.57
–
Opponent on target
4.00
5.57
–
Match total
7.71
10.14
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.71
13.43
–
Opponent fouls
13.43
13.14
–
Match total
24.14
26.57
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.00
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.43
1.57
–
Match total
4.43
2.57
–
Possession
All games
53%
49%
–
Home games
48%
51%
–
Away games
58%
47%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Celta Vigo
Scored · 8
13%
0%
38%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 6
0%
50%
0%
17%
17%
16%
Rayo Vallecano
Scored · 11
27%
18%
9%
46%
0%
0%
Conceded · 16
13%
31%
6%
19%
6%
25%
60%
Scored first
57%
25%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: Celta Vigo 3 of 5, Rayo Vallecano 4 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.57
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
At half-time
29%29%43%
Leading 2
Level 2
Trailing 3
1.14
points per game
At half-time
50%
1 of 2
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 5
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
4
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 5 games
8
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
