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17 Jan 2027-4:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
55%
28%
17%
Celta Vigo 55%
Draw 28%
Valencia 17%
1.4 – 0.6
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
19% chance
Most Likely Score
32%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
CEL · at home
Valencia · away
1.75
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.25
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.02x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.50x
0.94x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Racing Santander (H) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Sociedad (H) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
33
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings
33%
11%
56%
Celta Vigo wins 3
Draws 1
Valencia wins 5
Goals 13 (1.44 per game)
Goals 15 (1.67 per game)
89%
8
of 9
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
7
of 9
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
3
of 9
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
6
of 9
Both Teams Scored
11%
1
of 9
Celta Vigo Clean Sheets
33%
3
of 9
Valencia Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 9 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
L
D
1.00
1-4-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
1.00
0-3-0
PPG Away
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
0.57
1-1-5
PPG Overall
0.25
0-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Rest & Schedule
120
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
119
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
3.00
0.67
Scored
1.14
1.75
0.33
Conceded
0.86
1.25
0.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
25%
67%
Failed to score
43%
25%
67%
xG
1.01
1.23
0.71
xGA
1.26
1.64
0.76
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
0%
33%
Goals per game
2.43
2.75
2.00
Scored
0.57
0.50
0.67
Conceded
1.86
2.25
1.33
Both teams scored
29%
25%
33%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
57%
75%
33%
xG
0.87
0.98
0.72
xGA
1.64
2.03
1.13
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
77%
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
57%
Over 3.5
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
29%
39%
Over 4.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
Under 2.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
64%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
Celta Vigo
CEL
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
–
Over 1.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
29%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
7%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.75 at home
0.67 away
Celta Vigo scored 7 in 4 home games
Valencia scored 2 in 3 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Valencia
VAL
Scored over 0.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 1.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Failed to score
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.25 at home
1.33 away
Celta Vigo conceded 5 in 4 home games
Valencia conceded 4 in 3 away games
Celta Vigo
CEL
Valencia
VAL
Conceded over 0.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
Clean sheets
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
Streaks
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
3
Scored in a row
1
Lost last game
2
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Celta Vigo
CEL
Valencia
VAL
League
Corners
Corners won
3.29
4.43
–
Corners conceded
4.71
3.71
–
Match total
8.00
8.14
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.71
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.57
2.00
–
Match total
4.29
4.00
4.42
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
10.29
10.57
–
Opponent shots
12.43
15.29
–
Match total
22.71
25.86
26.46
Shots on target
On target
3.71
2.71
–
Opponent on target
4.00
4.71
–
Match total
7.71
7.43
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.71
10.57
–
Opponent fouls
13.43
10.71
–
Match total
24.14
21.29
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.00
2.29
–
Opponent offsides
1.43
2.14
–
Match total
4.43
4.43
–
Possession
All games
53%
48%
–
Home games
48%
42%
–
Away games
58%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Celta Vigo
Scored · 8
13%
0%
38%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 6
0%
50%
0%
17%
17%
16%
Valencia
Scored · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
16%
23%
0%
15%
0%
46%
60%
Scored first
17%
25%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Celta Vigo 3 of 5, Valencia 1 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.57
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
1
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
0
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
