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4 Apr 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
76%
14%
10%
Como 76%
Draw 14%
Fiorentina 10%
2.9 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
75%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
COM · all games
Fiorentina · all games
1.80
Goals scored per game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded per game
2.40
1.22x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
0.85x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.62x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Frosinone (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
50%
50%
Como wins 2
Draws 0
Fiorentina wins 2
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
100%
4
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Both Teams Scored
25%
1
of 4
Como Clean Sheets
25%
1
of 4
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
W
D
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Overall
3.00
1-0-0
PPG at Home
1.75
2-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Como at home +100% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (3.00 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
196
days rest
Frosinone 2-0 Como
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
196
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
1
4
Win %
60%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.00
3.00
3.00
Scored
1.80
2.00
1.75
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.25
Both teams scored
80%
100%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
20%
0%
25%
xG
1.89
2.98
1.61
xGA
1.53
1.15
1.62
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Como
COM
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Como
COM
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
BTTS
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
2.00 at home
2.00 away
Como scored 2 in 1 home game
Fiorentina scored 4 in 2 away games
Como
COM
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
3.00 away
Como conceded 1 in 1 home game
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 2 away games
Como
COM
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Longest win run this season
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Como
COM
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
8.00
4.40
–
Corners conceded
3.80
3.80
–
Match total
11.80
8.20
9.50
Over 8.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.80
1.40
–
Match total
2.60
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
23.40
16.80
–
Opponent shots
15.00
11.80
–
Match total
38.40
28.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
7.20
5.60
–
Opponent on target
3.40
5.20
–
Match total
10.60
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
7.80
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
11.00
13.00
–
Match total
18.80
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
4.75
1.20
–
Match total
6.75
2.20
–
Possession
All games
62%
43%
–
Home games
64%
47%
–
Away games
61%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Como
Scored · 9
0%
45%
22%
11%
0%
22%
Conceded · 6
17%
50%
17%
0%
0%
16%
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
40%
Scored first
20%
22%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Como 2 of 5, Fiorentina 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
60%40%
Leading 3
Level 0
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 3
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
4
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
4
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 2 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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