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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
8%
20%
72%
Cremonese 8%
Draw 20%
Como 72%
0.5 – 1.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
17% chance
Most Likely Score
43%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Cremonese · at home
COM · away
0.82
Goals scored per game
1.47
1.47
Goals conceded per game
0.76
0.64x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.31x
1.31x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.60x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Lazio (H) 1-2 · 4 May 2026
Substitutes
10
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Napoli (H) 0-0 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
L
L
L
L
D
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
0.80
6-10-19
PPG Overall
0.76
2-7-8
PPG at Home
0.83
4-3-11
PPG Away
D
W
L
L
D
D
W
L
L
D
W
W
W
W
W
1.77
17-11-7
PPG Overall
1.83
9-6-3
PPG at Home
1.71
8-5-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Como away +125% on points per game vs Cremonese at home (1.71 vs 0.76)
Rest & Schedule
20
days rest
Cremonese 1-2 Lazio
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
22
days rest
Como 0-0 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
17%
12%
22%
Goals per game
2.29
2.29
2.28
Scored
0.77
0.82
0.72
Conceded
1.51
1.47
1.56
Both teams scored
43%
53%
33%
Clean sheets
26%
29%
22%
Failed to score
49%
41%
56%
xG
0.91
1.12
0.72
xGA
1.55
1.43
1.67
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
49%
50%
47%
Goals per game
2.49
2.72
2.24
Scored
1.69
1.89
1.47
Conceded
0.80
0.83
0.76
Both teams scored
43%
50%
35%
Clean sheets
49%
50%
47%
Failed to score
26%
17%
35%
xG
1.56
1.96
1.13
xGA
0.86
0.85
0.88
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Cremonese
CRE
Como
COM
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 29/35
83% 29/35
83%
–
Over 1.5
69% 24/35
74% 26/35
71%
70%
Over 2.5
43% 15/35
46% 16/35
44%
45%
Over 3.5
23% 8/35
23% 8/35
23%
22%
Over 4.5
11% 4/35
11% 4/35
11%
–
Under 2.5
57% 20/35
54% 19/35
56%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 15/35
43% 15/35
43%
45%
BTTS & win
9% 3/35
17% 6/35
13%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
34% 12/35
29% 10/35
31%
–
Cremonese
CRE
Como
COM
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
60% 21/35
69% 24/35
64%
–
Over 1.5
37% 13/35
29% 10/35
33%
–
Over 2.5
9% 3/35
9% 3/35
9%
–
BTTS
6% 2/35
20% 7/35
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.82 at home
1.47 away
Cremonese scored 14 in 17 home games
Como scored 25 in 17 away games
Cremonese
CRE
Como
COM
Scored over 0.5
51% 18/35
74% 26/35
Scored over 1.5
20% 7/35
49% 17/35
Scored over 2.5
6% 2/35
26% 9/35
Failed to score
49% 17/35
26% 9/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.47 at home
0.76 away
Cremonese conceded 25 in 17 home games
Como conceded 13 in 17 away games
Cremonese
CRE
Como
COM
Conceded over 0.5
74% 26/35
51% 18/35
Conceded over 1.5
46% 16/35
14% 5/35
Conceded over 2.5
17% 6/35
9% 3/35
Clean sheets
26% 9/35
49% 17/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Cremonese
CRE
Como
COM
League
Corners
Corners won
3.50
3.97
–
Corners conceded
6.12
3.03
–
Match total
9.62
7.00
8.83
Over 8.5
62% 21/34
25% 8/32
–
Over 9.5
44% 15/34
16% 5/32
–
Over 10.5
29% 10/34
9% 3/32
–
Cards
Cards
1.97
2.29
–
Opponent cards
1.51
2.34
–
Match total
3.49
4.63
3.88
Over 3.5
40% 14/35
71% 25/35
–
Over 4.5
26% 9/35
51% 18/35
–
Shots
Shots
9.11
14.03
–
Opponent shots
15.91
9.00
–
Match total
25.03
23.03
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.42
4.94
–
Opponent on target
5.36
3.33
–
Match total
8.79
8.27
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.71
13.20
–
Opponent fouls
12.91
12.11
–
Match total
26.63
25.31
–
Possession
All games
46%
61%
–
Home games
46%
64%
–
Away games
46%
58%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Cremonese
Scored · 27
11%
11%
15%
22%
11%
30%
Conceded · 53
17%
13%
21%
17%
17%
15%
Como
Scored · 59
19%
12%
13%
12%
20%
24%
Conceded · 28
18%
7%
18%
29%
14%
14%
34%
Scored first
66%
30%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Cremonese 10 of 29, Como 19 of 29 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
17%43%40%
Leading 6
Level 15
Trailing 14
0.94
points per game
At half-time
50%
3 of 6
Led at HT, won
7%
1 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 17
At half-time
43%43%14%
Leading 15
Level 15
Trailing 5
1.71
points per game
At half-time
73%
11 of 15
Led at HT, won
40%
2 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 262nd 33
1
Points won from losing positions in 20 · 12 games
11
9
Points dropped from winning positions in 10 · 22 games
12
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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