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16 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
84%
Elche 6%
Draw 10%
Athletic Club 84%
0.8 – 3.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-3
10% chance
Most Likely Score
76%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ELC · at home
BIL · all games
1.33
Goals scored per game
1.17
3.67
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.78x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
2.75x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 6 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Espanyol (A) 1-3 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
43%
43%
Elche wins 1
Draws 3
Athletic Club wins 3
Goals 5 (0.71 per game)
Goals 9 (1.29 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
43%
3
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Elche Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
L
D
0.71
1-2-4
PPG Overall
0.00
0-0-3
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Athletic Club away 1.50 vs Elche at home 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
240
days rest
Espanyol 1-3 Elche
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
239
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
14%
0%
25%
Goals per game
4.00
5.00
3.25
Scored
1.57
1.33
1.75
Conceded
2.43
3.67
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
33%
0%
xG
1.24
1.32
1.18
xGA
2.01
2.86
1.38
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Elche
ELC
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
83% 5/6
92%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
83% 5/6
92%
77%
Over 2.5
71% 5/7
33% 2/6
52%
57%
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
17% 1/6
44%
39%
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
0% 0/6
29%
–
Under 2.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
48%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
86% 6/7
33% 2/6
60%
58%
BTTS & win
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
17% 1/6
37%
–
Elche
ELC
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
50% 3/6
68%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
17% 1/6
44%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/6
7%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
0% 0/6
0%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.00 away
Elche scored 4 in 3 home games
Athletic Club scored 2 in 2 away games
Elche
ELC
Athletic Club
BIL
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
17% 1/6
Failed to score
14% 1/7
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.67 at home
1.00 away
Elche conceded 11 in 3 home games
Athletic Club conceded 2 in 2 away games
Elche
ELC
Athletic Club
BIL
Conceded over 0.5
100% 7/7
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
Conceded over 2.5
57% 4/7
17% 1/6
Clean sheets
0% 0/7
50% 3/6
Streaks
1
Won last game
7
Conceded all 7 this season
5
Scored in a row
5
Both teams scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Elche
ELC
Athletic Club
BIL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.43
6.17
–
Corners conceded
4.29
4.83
–
Match total
8.71
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
–
Cards
Cards
2.57
2.17
–
Opponent cards
1.86
1.67
–
Match total
4.43
3.83
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
11.29
15.67
–
Opponent shots
15.29
9.50
–
Match total
26.57
25.17
26.46
Shots on target
On target
5.00
4.67
–
Opponent on target
4.71
3.67
–
Match total
9.71
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.57
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
12.43
11.33
–
Match total
26.00
22.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.57
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
3.86
3.67
–
Match total
5.43
5.17
–
Possession
All games
50%
53%
–
Home games
54%
60%
–
Away games
47%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Elche
Scored · 11
0%
18%
0%
9%
27%
46%
Conceded · 17
18%
18%
23%
0%
18%
23%
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
29%
Scored first
40%
45%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Elche 2 of 7, Athletic Club 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%14%71%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 5
0.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 9
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
1
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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