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11 Oct 2026-12:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
10%
39%
51%
Elche 10%
Draw 39%
Celta Vigo 51%
0.3 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
31% chance
Most Likely Score
12%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
ELC · at home
CEL · away
1.33
Goals scored per game
0.33
3.67
Goals conceded per game
0.33
0.78x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.25x
2.75x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.19x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Espanyol (A) 1-3 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-3
vs Racing Santander (H) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
33%
67%
Elche wins 2
Draws 0
Celta Vigo wins 4
Goals 4 (0.67 per game)
Goals 7 (1.17 per game)
33%
2
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
1
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2
of 6
Both Teams Scored
17%
1
of 6
Elche Clean Sheets
50%
3
of 6
Celta Vigo Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
L
L
W
L
D
L
L
L
D
0.71
1-2-4
PPG Overall
0.00
0-0-3
PPG at Home
1.25
1-2-1
PPG Away
W
D
D
D
L
W
D
D
D
L
L
D
1.00
1-4-2
PPG Overall
1.00
1-1-2
PPG at Home
1.00
0-3-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Celta Vigo away 1.00 vs Elche at home 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
23
days rest
Espanyol 1-3 Elche
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
22
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
14%
0%
25%
Goals per game
4.00
5.00
3.25
Scored
1.57
1.33
1.75
Conceded
2.43
3.67
1.50
Both teams scored
86%
67%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
14%
33%
0%
xG
1.24
1.32
1.18
xGA
2.01
2.86
1.38
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
25%
0%
Goals per game
2.00
3.00
0.67
Scored
1.14
1.75
0.33
Conceded
0.86
1.25
0.33
Both teams scored
43%
50%
33%
Clean sheets
43%
25%
67%
Failed to score
43%
25%
67%
xG
1.01
1.23
0.71
xGA
1.26
1.64
0.76
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
71% 5/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
100% 7/7
71% 5/7
86%
77%
Over 2.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
50%
57%
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
14% 1/7
43%
39%
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
36%
–
Under 2.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
50%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
86% 6/7
43% 3/7
64%
58%
BTTS & win
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
36%
–
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
29% 2/7
50%
–
Over 2.5
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
7%
–
BTTS
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.33 at home
0.33 away
Elche scored 4 in 3 home games
Celta Vigo scored 1 in 3 away games
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
57% 4/7
Scored over 1.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
Scored over 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
43% 3/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.67 at home
Elche conceded 11 in 3 home games
Celta Vigo conceded 1 in 3 away games
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Conceded over 0.5
100% 7/7
57% 4/7
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
Conceded over 2.5
57% 4/7
0% 0/7
Clean sheets
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
Streaks
1
Won last game
7
Conceded all 7 this season
5
Scored in a row
5
Both teams scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
3
Scored in a row
Match Totals
Elche
ELC
Celta Vigo
CEL
League
Corners
Corners won
4.43
3.29
–
Corners conceded
4.29
4.71
–
Match total
8.71
8.00
9.65
Over 8.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 9.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
–
Over 10.5
29% 2/7
29% 2/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.57
1.71
–
Opponent cards
1.86
2.57
–
Match total
4.43
4.29
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
–
Shots
Shots
11.29
10.29
–
Opponent shots
15.29
12.43
–
Match total
26.57
22.71
26.46
Shots on target
On target
5.00
3.71
–
Opponent on target
4.71
4.00
–
Match total
9.71
7.71
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.57
10.71
–
Opponent fouls
12.43
13.43
–
Match total
26.00
24.14
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.57
3.00
–
Opponent offsides
3.86
1.43
–
Match total
5.43
4.43
–
Possession
All games
50%
53%
–
Home games
54%
48%
–
Away games
47%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Elche
Scored · 11
0%
18%
0%
9%
27%
46%
Conceded · 17
18%
18%
23%
0%
18%
23%
Celta Vigo
Scored · 8
13%
0%
38%
12%
12%
25%
Conceded · 6
0%
50%
0%
17%
17%
16%
29%
Scored first
60%
45%
Goals after 75'
25%
Scored first: Elche 2 of 7, Celta Vigo 3 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%14%71%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 5
0.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 9
At half-time
43%29%29%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.57
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
1
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 3 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
