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18 Oct 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
14%
79%
Fiorentina 7%
Draw 14%
Como 79%
0.6 – 2.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
15% chance
Most Likely Score
58%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Fiorentina · at home
COM · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.75
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.25
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.23x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.84x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Frosinone (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
50%
50%
Fiorentina wins 2
Draws 0
Como wins 2
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
100%
4
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Both Teams Scored
25%
1
of 4
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
25%
1
of 4
Como Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
L
L
0.80
1-1-3
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Como away +430% on points per game vs Fiorentina at home (1.75 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
28
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
Frosinone 2-0 Como
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
1
4
Win %
60%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.00
3.00
3.00
Scored
1.80
2.00
1.75
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.25
Both teams scored
80%
100%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
20%
0%
25%
xG
1.89
2.98
1.61
xGA
1.53
1.15
1.62
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
82%
Over 2.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
70%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
–
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.75 away
Fiorentina scored 2 in 3 home games
Como scored 7 in 4 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.00 at home
1.25 away
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 3 home games
Como conceded 5 in 4 away games
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Fiorentina
FIO
Como
COM
League
Corners
Corners won
4.40
8.00
–
Corners conceded
3.80
3.80
–
Match total
8.20
11.80
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
–
Over 9.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.80
0.80
–
Opponent cards
1.40
1.80
–
Match total
3.20
2.60
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
16.80
23.40
–
Opponent shots
11.80
15.00
–
Match total
28.60
38.40
29.14
Shots on target
On target
5.60
7.20
–
Opponent on target
5.20
3.40
–
Match total
10.80
10.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
11.00
7.80
–
Opponent fouls
13.00
11.00
–
Match total
24.00
18.80
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.00
2.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.20
4.75
–
Match total
2.20
6.75
–
Possession
All games
43%
62%
–
Home games
47%
64%
–
Away games
38%
61%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
Como
Scored · 9
0%
45%
22%
11%
0%
22%
Conceded · 6
17%
50%
17%
0%
0%
16%
20%
Scored first
40%
17%
Goals after 75'
22%
Scored first: Fiorentina 1 of 5, Como 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
At half-time
60%40%
Leading 3
Level 0
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 3
4
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
4
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 3 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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