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29 Oct 2026-5:30 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
63%
26%
11%
Frosinone 63%
Draw 26%
Lecce 11%
1.5 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
21% chance
Most Likely Score
32%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Frosinone · at home
Lecce · away
1.67
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.33
1.13x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.47x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Como (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
W
L
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Overall
2.00
2-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
1-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Frosinone at home +100% on points per game vs Lecce away (2.00 vs 1.00)
Rest & Schedule
39
days rest
Frosinone 2-0 Como
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
39
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
60%
67%
50%
Goals per game
2.60
2.67
2.50
Scored
1.80
1.67
2.00
Conceded
0.80
1.00
0.50
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
40%
33%
50%
Failed to score
20%
33%
0%
xG
1.51
1.50
1.52
xGA
2.10
2.16
2.01
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
90%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.67 at home
0.67 away
Frosinone scored 5 in 3 home games
Lecce scored 2 in 3 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Scored over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.33 away
Frosinone conceded 3 in 3 home games
Lecce conceded 4 in 3 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
Conceded over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Frosinone
FRO
Lecce
LEC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.80
3.40
–
Corners conceded
7.60
4.20
–
Match total
13.40
7.60
9.50
Over 8.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.80
0.60
–
Match total
5.20
2.60
3.26
Over 3.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
80% 4/5
0% 0/5
–
Shots
Shots
16.80
8.40
–
Opponent shots
20.80
16.60
–
Match total
37.60
25.00
29.14
Shots on target
On target
5.60
3.40
–
Opponent on target
5.20
7.80
–
Match total
10.80
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
17.40
12.60
–
Opponent fouls
13.20
9.40
–
Match total
30.60
22.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.20
0.80
–
Opponent offsides
1.40
4.80
–
Match total
4.60
5.60
–
Possession
All games
41%
39%
–
Home games
37%
38%
–
Away games
48%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Frosinone
Scored · 9
22%
22%
34%
0%
11%
11%
Conceded · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
50%
0%
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
80%
Scored first
40%
11%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Frosinone 4 of 5, Lecce 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 0
Trailing 1
2.40
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 2
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 3 games
0
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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