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16 Oct 2026-6:45 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
67%
19%
14%
Frosinone 67%
Draw 19%
Sassuolo 14%
2.3 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
10% chance
Most Likely Score
62%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Frosinone · at home
Sassuolo · away
1.67
Goals scored per game
1.33
1.00
Goals conceded per game
2.00
1.13x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.94x
0.70x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.35x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Como (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Monza (A) 2-1 · 18 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
33%
33%
33%
Frosinone wins 1
Draws 1
Sassuolo wins 1
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
Goals 6 (2.00 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Frosinone Clean Sheets
33%
1
of 3
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
D
W
W
L
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Overall
2.00
2-0-1
PPG at Home
2.00
1-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: Frosinone at home +506% on points per game vs Sassuolo away (2.00 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
26
days rest
Frosinone 2-0 Como
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
28
days rest
Monza 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 1 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
60%
67%
50%
Goals per game
2.60
2.67
2.50
Scored
1.80
1.67
2.00
Conceded
0.80
1.00
0.50
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
40%
33%
50%
Failed to score
20%
33%
0%
xG
1.51
1.50
1.52
xGA
2.10
2.16
2.01
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
100%
0%
Goals per game
3.60
4.00
3.33
Scored
1.80
2.50
1.33
Conceded
1.80
1.50
2.00
Both teams scored
100%
100%
100%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.73
1.44
1.93
xGA
1.33
1.18
1.42
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Frosinone
FRO
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
70%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
30%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
100% 5/5
60%
–
Frosinone
FRO
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
0%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.67 at home
1.33 away
Frosinone scored 5 in 3 home games
Sassuolo scored 4 in 3 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Sassuolo
SAS
Scored over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.00 away
Frosinone conceded 3 in 3 home games
Sassuolo conceded 6 in 3 away games
Frosinone
FRO
Sassuolo
SAS
Conceded over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Frosinone
FRO
Sassuolo
SAS
League
Corners
Corners won
5.80
4.60
–
Corners conceded
7.60
6.80
–
Match total
13.40
11.40
9.50
Over 8.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.40
–
Opponent cards
2.80
1.80
–
Match total
5.20
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
16.80
17.20
–
Opponent shots
20.80
15.80
–
Match total
37.60
33.00
29.14
Shots on target
On target
5.60
7.00
–
Opponent on target
5.20
6.00
–
Match total
10.80
13.00
–
Fouls
Fouls
17.40
8.80
–
Opponent fouls
13.20
11.60
–
Match total
30.60
20.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.20
2.40
–
Opponent offsides
1.40
0.40
–
Match total
4.60
2.80
–
Possession
All games
41%
47%
–
Home games
37%
44%
–
Away games
48%
49%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Frosinone
Scored · 9
22%
22%
34%
0%
11%
11%
Conceded · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
50%
0%
Sassuolo
Scored · 9
0%
11%
11%
22%
11%
45%
Conceded · 9
11%
0%
11%
22%
22%
34%
80%
Scored first
60%
11%
Goals after 75'
44%
Scored first: Frosinone 4 of 5, Sassuolo 3 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 0
Trailing 1
2.40
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 2
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 7
0
Points won from losing positions in 1 · 2 games
0
2
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 3 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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