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27 Feb 2027-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
49%
20%
31%
FSV Mainz 05 49%
Draw 20%
FC Schalke 04 31%
2.2 – 1.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
8% chance
Most Likely Score
76%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FSV Mainz 05 · at home
FC Schalke 04 · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.33
2.20
Goals conceded per game
3.33
0.67x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.81x
1.33x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.59x
Average: 2.10 home goals and 1.65 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs SV Elversberg (H) 0-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
13%
38%
50%
FSV Mainz 05 wins 1
Draws 3
FC Schalke 04 wins 4
Goals 8 (1.00 per game)
Goals 9 (1.13 per game)
50%
4
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
2
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Both Teams Scored
38%
3
of 8
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
50%
4
of 8
FC Schalke 04 Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
Points on these 2
3 of 9 · 1.00 per game
2 of 9 · 0.67 per game
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
D
W
D
L
L
D
W
D
L
L
D
L
W
W
L
1.20
3-3-4
PPG Overall
1.50
1-3-0
PPG at Home
1.00
2-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: FC Schalke 04 away +25% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 at home (1.00 vs 0.80)
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
161
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
160
days rest
FC Schalke 04 0-0 SV Elversberg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
4
6
Win %
30%
25%
33%
Goals per game
3.50
1.75
4.67
Scored
1.20
1.00
1.33
Conceded
2.30
0.75
3.33
Both teams scored
50%
50%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
50%
0%
Failed to score
50%
50%
50%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
86%
Over 2.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
78%
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
65%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
Under 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
55%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
55%
–
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
55%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
20%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
1.33 away
FSV Mainz 05 scored 7 in 5 home games
FC Schalke 04 scored 8 in 6 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
Scored over 0.5
70% 7/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Failed to score
30% 3/10
50% 5/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.20 at home
3.33 away
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 home games
FC Schalke 04 conceded 20 in 6 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
Conceded over 1.5
70% 7/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 2.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
20% 2/10
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
3
Unbeaten last loss 4 games ago
2
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
FC Schalke 04
FC
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.70
5.70
–
Match total
9.50
10.70
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.50
2.20
–
Match total
4.00
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
–
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
12.60
–
Opponent shots
13.70
16.00
–
Match total
26.90
28.60
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.70
5.33
–
Opponent on target
4.90
6.33
–
Match total
9.60
11.67
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.80
9.40
–
Opponent fouls
8.70
11.10
–
Match total
21.50
20.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
1.71
2.57
–
Match total
3.71
4.29
–
Possession
All games
45%
44%
–
Home games
47%
41%
–
Away games
44%
45%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
FC Schalke 04
Scored · 12
8%
25%
0%
25%
0%
42%
Conceded · 23
9%
26%
4%
17%
9%
35%
33%
Scored first
38%
33%
Goals after 75'
42%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9, FC Schalke 04 3 of 8 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
At half-time
20%30%50%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 5
0.90
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 8
6
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 6 games
4
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 4 games
2
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, FC Schalke 04: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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