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10 Apr 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
28%
26%
46%
FSV Mainz 05 28%
Draw 26%
RB Leipzig 46%
1.1 – 1.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
47%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
FSV Mainz 05 · at home
RB Leipzig · away
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.67x
1.47x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 2.05 home goals and 1.50 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Borussia Monchengladbach (A) 3-4 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
47
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
20%
50%
FSV Mainz 05 wins 3
Draws 2
RB Leipzig wins 5
Goals 14 (1.40 per game)
Goals 30 (3.00 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
20%
2
of 10
FSV Mainz 05 Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
RB Leipzig Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
Points on these 4
9 of 12 · 2.25 per game
12 of 12 · 3.00 per game
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
1.10
3-2-5
PPG Overall
0.80
1-1-3
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.10
7-0-3
PPG Overall
3.00
5-0-0
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
Venue form: RB Leipzig away +50% on points per game vs FSV Mainz 05 at home (1.20 vs 0.80)
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
203
days rest
Borussia Monchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
202
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
30%
20%
40%
Goals per game
4.00
3.60
4.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
2.20
Conceded
2.20
2.20
2.20
Both teams scored
60%
80%
40%
Clean sheets
20%
20%
20%
Failed to score
30%
20%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
100%
40%
Goals per game
3.10
3.60
2.60
Scored
2.00
3.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
0.60
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
100% 10/10
95%
–
Over 1.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
86%
Over 2.5
90% 9/10
60% 6/10
75%
78%
Over 3.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
55%
61%
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
20% 2/10
30%
–
Under 2.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
25%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
50%
–
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
90% 9/10
80% 8/10
85%
–
Over 1.5
70% 7/10
20% 2/10
45%
–
Over 2.5
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
BTTS
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
15%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.40 at home
1.00 away
FSV Mainz 05 scored 7 in 5 home games
RB Leipzig scored 5 in 5 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
Scored over 0.5
70% 7/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
Scored over 2.5
30% 3/10
40% 4/10
Failed to score
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.20 at home
1.60 away
FSV Mainz 05 conceded 11 in 5 home games
RB Leipzig conceded 8 in 5 away games
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
Conceded over 0.5
80% 8/10
60% 6/10
Conceded over 1.5
70% 7/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 2.5
60% 6/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
20% 2/10
40% 4/10
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Scored in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
2
Conceded in a row
2
Both teams scored in a row
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
FSV Mainz 05
FSV
RB Leipzig
RB
League
Corners
Corners won
4.80
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.70
4.67
–
Match total
9.50
9.67
10.86
Over 8.5
80% 8/10
67% 6/9
–
Over 9.5
30% 3/10
33% 3/9
–
Over 10.5
20% 2/10
33% 3/9
–
Cards
Cards
2.50
1.90
–
Opponent cards
1.50
2.10
–
Match total
4.00
4.00
3.64
Over 3.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
10% 1/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
13.20
18.00
–
Opponent shots
13.70
10.80
–
Match total
26.90
28.80
31.03
Shots on target
On target
4.70
6.30
–
Opponent on target
4.90
3.80
–
Match total
9.60
10.10
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.80
10.10
–
Opponent fouls
8.70
12.30
–
Match total
21.50
22.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.00
1.88
–
Opponent offsides
1.71
2.50
–
Match total
3.71
4.38
–
Possession
All games
45%
57%
–
Home games
47%
56%
–
Away games
44%
58%
–
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
FSV Mainz 05
Scored · 18
6%
22%
11%
11%
17%
33%
Conceded · 22
18%
18%
14%
18%
9%
23%
RB Leipzig
Scored · 20
5%
25%
0%
5%
25%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
33%
Scored first
50%
33%
Goals after 75'
40%
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: FSV Mainz 05 3 of 9, RB Leipzig 5 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
30%20%50%
Leading 3
Level 2
Trailing 5
1.10
points per game
At half-time
67%
2 of 3
Led at HT, won
20%
1 of 5
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 11
At half-time
40%20%40%
Leading 4
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 of 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 14
6
Points won from losing positions in 7 · 5 games
6
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (FSV Mainz 05: 4, RB Leipzig: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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