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8 Nov 2026-2:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
12%
82%
Genoa 6%
Draw 12%
AC Milan 82%
0.6 – 2.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
13% chance
Most Likely Score
65%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Genoa · at home
AC Milan · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.67
2.33
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.17x
1.64x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.90x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Parma (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Lecce (H) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
10%
30%
60%
Genoa wins 1
Draws 3
AC Milan wins 6
Goals 8 (0.80 per game)
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Genoa Clean Sheets
40%
4
of 10
AC Milan Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
L
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: AC Milan away +406% on points per game vs Genoa at home (1.67 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
49
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
49
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.60
3.00
2.00
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
2.00
2.33
1.50
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.89
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.33
1.49
1.08
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
60%
100%
33%
Goals per game
2.80
2.50
3.00
Scored
2.00
2.50
1.67
Conceded
0.80
0.00
1.33
Both teams scored
60%
0%
100%
Clean sheets
40%
100%
0%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.58
2.20
1.17
xGA
1.18
0.51
1.63
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Genoa
GEN
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
Genoa
GEN
AC Milan
AC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.67 away
Genoa scored 2 in 3 home games
AC Milan scored 5 in 3 away games
Genoa
GEN
AC Milan
AC
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.33 at home
1.33 away
Genoa conceded 7 in 3 home games
AC Milan conceded 4 in 3 away games
Genoa
GEN
AC Milan
AC
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Genoa
GEN
AC Milan
AC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
2.80
–
Corners conceded
4.80
3.40
–
Match total
9.80
6.20
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.60
1.40
–
Match total
4.00
3.00
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
12.80
–
Opponent shots
15.80
9.00
–
Match total
27.60
21.80
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.00
4.20
–
Opponent on target
4.60
3.40
–
Match total
7.60
7.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.00
10.20
–
Opponent fouls
12.40
12.20
–
Match total
22.40
22.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
1.40
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
2.80
–
Match total
4.40
4.20
–
Possession
All games
48%
61%
–
Home games
43%
64%
–
Away games
56%
59%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Genoa
Scored · 3
0%
34%
0%
33%
33%
0%
Conceded · 10
10%
30%
20%
0%
0%
40%
AC Milan
Scored · 10
10%
0%
0%
0%
80%
10%
Conceded · 4
25%
0%
25%
0%
0%
50%
20%
Scored first
80%
0%
Goals after 75'
10%
Scored first: Genoa 1 of 5, AC Milan 4 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 0
Level 1
Trailing 4
0.20
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 9
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 1 games
1
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 4 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
