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10 Oct 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
20%
22%
58%
Genoa 20%
Draw 22%
Fiorentina 58%
1.1 – 2.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Genoa · at home
Fiorentina · all games
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.20
2.33
Goals conceded per game
2.40
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
1.64x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.62x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Parma (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
10%
40%
50%
Genoa wins 1
Draws 4
Fiorentina wins 5
Goals 9 (0.90 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Genoa Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
L
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Fiorentina away +355% on points per game vs Genoa at home (1.50 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
20
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
20
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.60
3.00
2.00
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
2.00
2.33
1.50
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.89
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.33
1.49
1.08
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Genoa
GEN
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
Genoa
GEN
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
2.00 away
Genoa scored 2 in 3 home games
Fiorentina scored 4 in 2 away games
Genoa
GEN
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.33 at home
3.00 away
Genoa conceded 7 in 3 home games
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 2 away games
Genoa
GEN
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
5
Without a win all 5 this season
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Genoa
GEN
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
4.40
–
Corners conceded
4.80
3.80
–
Match total
9.80
8.20
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.60
1.40
–
Match total
4.00
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
16.80
–
Opponent shots
15.80
11.80
–
Match total
27.60
28.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.00
5.60
–
Opponent on target
4.60
5.20
–
Match total
7.60
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.00
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
12.40
13.00
–
Match total
22.40
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
1.20
–
Match total
4.40
2.20
–
Possession
All games
48%
43%
–
Home games
43%
47%
–
Away games
56%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Genoa
Scored · 3
0%
34%
0%
33%
33%
0%
Conceded · 10
10%
30%
20%
0%
0%
40%
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
20%
Scored first
20%
0%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Genoa 1 of 5, Fiorentina 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 0
Level 1
Trailing 4
0.20
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 5 games
4
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 2 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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