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4 Apr 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
95%
Genoa 2%
Draw 3%
Inter 95%
0.7 – 4.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-4
9% chance
Most Likely Score
92%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Genoa · at home
Inter · all games
0.67
Goals scored per game
3.00
2.33
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.45x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.11x
1.64x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.08x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Parma (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-1-4-2
vs AS Roma (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
70%
Genoa wins 0
Draws 3
Inter wins 7
Goals 4 (0.40 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
2
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
Genoa Clean Sheets
70%
7
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
D
L
L
L
0.20
0-1-4
PPG Overall
0.33
0-1-2
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter away +506% on points per game vs Genoa at home (2.00 vs 0.33)
Rest & Schedule
196
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
197
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.60
3.00
2.00
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
2.00
2.33
1.50
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.89
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.33
1.49
1.08
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
100%
50%
Goals per game
4.60
6.00
2.50
Scored
3.00
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
2.00
1.00
Both teams scored
80%
100%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.90
2.65
3.27
xGA
1.34
1.53
1.07
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Genoa
GEN
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Genoa
GEN
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.50 away
Genoa scored 2 in 3 home games
Inter scored 3 in 2 away games
Genoa
GEN
Inter
INT
Scored over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
Failed to score
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
2.33 at home
1.00 away
Genoa conceded 7 in 3 home games
Inter conceded 2 in 2 away games
Genoa
GEN
Inter
INT
Conceded over 0.5
100% 5/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Genoa
GEN
Inter
INT
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
6.20
–
Corners conceded
4.80
4.20
–
Match total
9.80
10.40
9.50
Over 8.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.40
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.60
2.00
–
Match total
4.00
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
11.80
23.20
–
Opponent shots
15.80
11.40
–
Match total
27.60
34.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.00
7.40
–
Opponent on target
4.60
3.80
–
Match total
7.60
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.00
6.60
–
Opponent fouls
12.40
9.80
–
Match total
22.40
16.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.40
1.60
–
Opponent offsides
2.00
3.60
–
Match total
4.40
5.20
–
Possession
All games
48%
63%
–
Home games
43%
66%
–
Away games
56%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Genoa
Scored · 3
0%
34%
0%
33%
33%
0%
Conceded · 10
10%
30%
20%
0%
0%
40%
Inter
Scored · 15
13%
7%
7%
33%
13%
27%
Conceded · 8
25%
25%
13%
25%
0%
12%
20%
Scored first
40%
0%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Genoa 1 of 5, Inter 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 0
Level 1
Trailing 4
0.20
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 11
1
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
7
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 4 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
