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25 Apr 2027-4:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
88%
10%
Juventus 88%
Draw 10%
Fiorentina 2%
2.7 – 0.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
18% chance
Most Likely Score
57%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Juventus · at home
Fiorentina · all games
1.67
Goals scored per game
1.20
0.33
Goals conceded per game
2.40
1.13x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
0.23x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.62x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Atalanta (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
40%
30%
Juventus wins 3
Draws 4
Fiorentina wins 3
Goals 8 (0.80 per game)
Goals 13 (1.30 per game)
70%
7
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
4
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Juventus Clean Sheets
30%
3
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
D
W
W
2.00
3-1-1
PPG Overall
2.33
2-1-0
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Juventus at home +55% on points per game vs Fiorentina away (2.33 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
217
days rest
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
217
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
60%
67%
50%
Goals per game
2.40
2.00
3.00
Scored
1.60
1.67
1.50
Conceded
0.80
0.33
1.50
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.55
1.49
1.64
xGA
0.48
0.32
0.72
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
80% 4/5
20% 1/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
20%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.67 at home
2.00 away
Juventus scored 5 in 3 home games
Fiorentina scored 4 in 2 away games
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.00 away
Juventus conceded 1 in 3 home games
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 2 away games
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
60% 3/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
1
Won last game
5
Scored all 5 this season
2
Longest win run this season
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Juventus
JUV
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
8.60
4.40
–
Corners conceded
2.80
3.80
–
Match total
11.40
8.20
9.50
Over 8.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
1.60
1.80
–
Opponent cards
2.40
1.40
–
Match total
4.00
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
80% 4/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
17.60
16.80
–
Opponent shots
7.80
11.80
–
Match total
25.40
28.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
5.80
5.60
–
Opponent on target
2.80
5.20
–
Match total
8.60
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
14.80
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
11.20
13.00
–
Match total
26.00
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
2.60
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.80
1.20
–
Match total
4.40
2.20
–
Possession
All games
56%
43%
–
Home games
53%
47%
–
Away games
61%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Juventus
Scored · 8
0%
25%
0%
0%
13%
62%
Conceded · 4
0%
0%
0%
0%
50%
50%
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
60%
Scored first
20%
63%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Juventus 3 of 5, Fiorentina 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%60%
Leading 2
Level 3
Trailing 0
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 6
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
1
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
4
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 2 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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