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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
68%
17%
15%
Lazio 68%
Draw 17%
Pisa 15%
2.5 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
9% chance
Most Likely Score
71%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lazio · at home
Pisa · away
1.39
Goals scored per game
0.94
1.33
Goals conceded per game
2.35
1.08x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.84x
1.19x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.83x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Inter (H) 0-3 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-5-1-1
vs Lecce (H) 1-2 · 1 May 2026
Substitutes
99
35
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
1.42
13-12-11
PPG Overall
1.50
7-6-5
PPG at Home
1.33
6-6-6
PPG Away
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
0.51
2-12-21
PPG Overall
0.56
2-4-12
PPG at Home
0.47
0-8-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Lazio at home +219% on points per game vs Pisa away (1.50 vs 0.47)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Lazio 0-3 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
23
days rest
Pisa 1-2 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
36%
39%
33%
Goals per game
2.11
2.72
1.50
Scored
1.08
1.39
0.78
Conceded
1.03
1.33
0.72
Both teams scored
28%
39%
17%
Clean sheets
42%
33%
50%
Failed to score
44%
33%
56%
xG
1.09
1.29
0.89
xGA
1.24
1.31
1.16
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
6%
11%
0%
Goals per game
2.51
1.78
3.29
Scored
0.71
0.50
0.94
Conceded
1.80
1.28
2.35
Both teams scored
43%
33%
53%
Clean sheets
14%
22%
6%
Failed to score
54%
61%
47%
xG
1.03
1.03
1.04
xGA
1.53
1.29
1.79
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lazio
LAZ
Pisa
PIS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 31/36
89% 31/35
87%
–
Over 1.5
64% 23/36
63% 22/35
63%
70%
Over 2.5
31% 11/36
49% 17/35
40%
45%
Over 3.5
17% 6/36
34% 12/35
25%
22%
Over 4.5
8% 3/36
9% 3/35
8%
–
Under 2.5
69% 25/36
51% 18/35
60%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
28% 10/36
43% 15/35
35%
45%
BTTS & win
8% 3/36
3% 1/35
6%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
19% 7/36
34% 12/35
27%
–
Lazio
LAZ
Pisa
PIS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
58% 21/36
54% 19/35
56%
–
Over 1.5
22% 8/36
29% 10/35
25%
–
Over 2.5
6% 2/36
11% 4/35
8%
–
BTTS
8% 3/36
17% 6/35
13%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.39 at home
0.94 away
Lazio scored 25 in 18 home games
Pisa scored 16 in 17 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Pisa
PIS
Scored over 0.5
56% 20/36
46% 16/35
Scored over 1.5
36% 13/36
23% 8/35
Scored over 2.5
14% 5/36
3% 1/35
Failed to score
44% 16/36
54% 19/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
2.35 away
Lazio conceded 24 in 18 home games
Pisa conceded 40 in 17 away games
Lazio
LAZ
Pisa
PIS
Conceded over 0.5
58% 21/36
86% 30/35
Conceded over 1.5
33% 12/36
51% 18/35
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/36
23% 8/35
Clean sheets
42% 15/36
14% 5/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Lazio
LAZ
Pisa
PIS
League
Corners
Corners won
4.06
3.71
–
Corners conceded
3.88
4.82
–
Match total
7.94
8.53
8.83
Over 8.5
50% 16/32
47% 16/34
–
Over 9.5
25% 8/32
41% 14/34
–
Over 10.5
13% 4/32
29% 10/34
–
Cards
Cards
2.19
2.14
–
Opponent cards
2.56
1.69
–
Match total
4.75
3.83
3.88
Over 3.5
72% 26/36
60% 21/35
–
Over 4.5
56% 20/36
34% 12/35
–
Shots
Shots
10.89
9.97
–
Opponent shots
13.22
14.51
–
Match total
24.11
24.49
24.38
Shots on target
On target
4.03
3.41
–
Opponent on target
4.29
4.52
–
Match total
8.32
7.93
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.39
13.20
–
Opponent fouls
14.53
11.57
–
Match total
24.92
24.77
–
Possession
All games
50%
41%
–
Home games
50%
43%
–
Away games
51%
38%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lazio
Scored · 39
16%
10%
10%
15%
10%
39%
Conceded · 37
14%
16%
16%
19%
16%
19%
Pisa
Scored · 25
20%
16%
8%
24%
12%
20%
Conceded · 63
11%
6%
22%
16%
18%
27%
52%
Scored first
29%
38%
Goals after 75'
20%
Scored first: Lazio 16 of 31, Pisa 9 of 31 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
22%47%31%
Leading 8
Level 17
Trailing 11
1.14
points per game
At half-time
75%
6 of 8
Led at HT, won
27%
3 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 25
At half-time
9%57%34%
Leading 3
Level 20
Trailing 12
0.83
points per game
At half-time
33%
1 of 3
Led at HT, won
17%
2 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 112nd 14
7
Points won from losing positions in 16 · 26 games
5
12
Points dropped from winning positions in 19 · 10 games
18
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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