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21 Feb 2027-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
13%
81%
Lecce 6%
Draw 13%
Frosinone 81%
0.5 – 2.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-2
15% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lecce · all games
Frosinone · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded per game
0.80
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.27x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.54x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Como (H) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Frosinone away +33% on points per game vs Lecce at home (2.00 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
154
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
154
days rest
Frosinone 2-0 Como
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
60%
67%
50%
Goals per game
2.60
2.67
2.50
Scored
1.80
1.67
2.00
Conceded
0.80
1.00
0.50
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
40%
33%
50%
Failed to score
20%
33%
0%
xG
1.51
1.50
1.52
xGA
2.10
2.16
2.01
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
2.00 away
Lecce scored 3 in 2 home games
Frosinone scored 4 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
Scored over 0.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Failed to score
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.00 at home
Lecce conceded 6 in 2 home games
Frosinone conceded 1 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Lecce
LEC
Frosinone
FRO
League
Corners
Corners won
3.40
5.80
–
Corners conceded
4.20
7.60
–
Match total
7.60
13.40
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.40
–
Opponent cards
0.60
2.80
–
Match total
2.60
5.20
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
100% 5/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
80% 4/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.40
16.80
–
Opponent shots
16.60
20.80
–
Match total
25.00
37.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
5.60
–
Opponent on target
7.80
5.20
–
Match total
11.20
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
17.40
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
13.20
–
Match total
22.00
30.60
–
Offsides
Offsides
0.80
3.20
–
Opponent offsides
4.80
1.40
–
Match total
5.60
4.60
–
Possession
All games
39%
41%
–
Home games
38%
37%
–
Away games
39%
48%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
Frosinone
Scored · 9
22%
22%
34%
0%
11%
11%
Conceded · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
50%
0%
40%
Scored first
80%
20%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Lecce 2 of 5, Frosinone 4 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
At half-time
80%20%
Leading 4
Level 0
Trailing 1
2.40
points per game
At half-time
75%
3 of 4
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 72nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 1 games
0
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 4 games
2
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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