|
24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
21%
28%
51%
Lecce 21%
Draw 28%
Genoa 51%
0.7 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
17% chance
Most Likely Score
34%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lecce · at home
Genoa · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.12
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.41
0.52x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.99x
1.19x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.10x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 36 + 35 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Juventus (H) 0-1 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Atalanta (A) 0-0 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
43%
43%
Lecce wins 1
Draws 3
Genoa wins 3
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
Goals 8 (1.14 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Lecce Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Genoa Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
D
D
L
L
L
L
W
L
0.89
8-8-20
PPG Overall
0.94
4-5-9
PPG at Home
0.83
4-3-11
PPG Away
D
L
W
W
L
D
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
1.14
10-10-15
PPG Overall
1.22
6-4-8
PPG at Home
1.06
4-6-7
PPG Away
Venue form: Genoa away +13% on points per game vs Lecce at home (1.06 vs 0.94)
Rest & Schedule
15
days rest
Lecce 0-1 Juventus
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
22
days rest
Atalanta 0-0 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
22%
22%
22%
Goals per game
2.00
2.00
2.00
Scored
0.67
0.67
0.67
Conceded
1.33
1.33
1.33
Both teams scored
36%
39%
33%
Clean sheets
25%
22%
28%
Failed to score
53%
56%
50%
xG
0.78
0.91
0.65
xGA
1.51
1.37
1.65
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
29%
33%
24%
Goals per game
2.51
2.50
2.53
Scored
1.14
1.17
1.12
Conceded
1.37
1.33
1.41
Both teams scored
54%
44%
65%
Clean sheets
23%
22%
24%
Failed to score
37%
44%
29%
xG
1.15
1.18
1.13
xGA
1.27
1.14
1.41
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 31/36
86% 30/35
86%
–
Over 1.5
61% 22/36
80% 28/35
71%
70%
Over 2.5
36% 13/36
54% 19/35
45%
45%
Over 3.5
11% 4/36
17% 6/35
14%
22%
Over 4.5
6% 2/36
11% 4/35
8%
–
Under 2.5
64% 23/36
46% 16/35
55%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
36% 13/36
54% 19/35
45%
45%
BTTS & win
11% 4/36
20% 7/35
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
31% 11/36
46% 16/35
38%
–
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
58% 21/36
66% 23/35
62%
–
Over 1.5
19% 7/36
31% 11/35
25%
–
Over 2.5
3% 1/36
9% 3/35
6%
–
BTTS
11% 4/36
17% 6/35
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.12 away
Lecce scored 12 in 18 home games
Genoa scored 19 in 17 away games
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Scored over 0.5
47% 17/36
63% 22/35
Scored over 1.5
19% 7/36
40% 14/35
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/36
11% 4/35
Failed to score
53% 19/36
37% 13/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.41 away
Lecce conceded 24 in 18 home games
Genoa conceded 24 in 17 away games
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Conceded over 0.5
75% 27/36
77% 27/35
Conceded over 1.5
42% 15/36
46% 16/35
Conceded over 2.5
14% 5/36
14% 5/35
Clean sheets
25% 9/36
23% 8/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
League
Corners
Corners won
4.11
3.45
–
Corners conceded
5.54
5.35
–
Match total
9.66
8.81
8.83
Over 8.5
66% 23/35
48% 15/31
–
Over 9.5
57% 20/35
39% 12/31
–
Over 10.5
40% 14/35
16% 5/31
–
Cards
Cards
1.75
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.69
2.66
–
Match total
3.44
4.46
3.88
Over 3.5
47% 17/36
77% 27/35
–
Over 4.5
31% 11/36
43% 15/35
–
Shots
Shots
9.69
11.29
–
Opponent shots
12.64
12.97
–
Match total
22.33
24.26
24.38
Shots on target
On target
2.60
3.79
–
Opponent on target
4.40
4.55
–
Match total
7.00
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.56
12.43
–
Opponent fouls
14.36
14.89
–
Match total
26.92
27.31
–
Possession
All games
42%
48%
–
Home games
45%
51%
–
Away games
40%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lecce
Scored · 24
25%
17%
12%
8%
17%
21%
Conceded · 48
4%
19%
12%
19%
29%
17%
Genoa
Scored · 40
13%
12%
15%
10%
20%
30%
Conceded · 48
15%
17%
14%
19%
21%
14%
45%
Scored first
50%
21%
Goals after 75'
30%
Scored first: Lecce 14 of 31, Genoa 15 of 30 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
19%50%31%
Leading 7
Level 18
Trailing 11
1.08
points per game
At half-time
57%
4 of 7
Led at HT, won
9%
1 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 132nd 11
At half-time
23%49%29%
Leading 8
Level 17
Trailing 10
1.17
points per game
At half-time
63%
5 of 8
Led at HT, won
20%
2 of 10
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 162nd 24
2
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 21 games
12
16
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 18 games
20
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
