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1 Nov 2026-5:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
49%
28%
23%
Lecce 49%
Draw 28%
Genoa 23%
1.4 – 0.8
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
15% chance
Most Likely Score
38%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lecce · all games
Genoa · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded per game
2.00
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.42x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.35x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Parma (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
43%
43%
Lecce wins 1
Draws 3
Genoa wins 3
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
Goals 8 (1.14 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Lecce Clean Sheets
29%
2
of 7
Genoa Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Lecce at home 1.50 vs Genoa away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
42
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
42
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.60
3.00
2.00
Scored
0.60
0.67
0.50
Conceded
2.00
2.33
1.50
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.89
1.11
0.56
xGA
1.33
1.49
1.08
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
30%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
0.50 away
Lecce scored 3 in 2 home games
Genoa scored 1 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Scored over 0.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.50 away
Lecce conceded 6 in 2 home games
Genoa conceded 3 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Lecce
LEC
Genoa
GEN
League
Corners
Corners won
3.40
5.00
–
Corners conceded
4.20
4.80
–
Match total
7.60
9.80
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
2.40
–
Opponent cards
0.60
1.60
–
Match total
2.60
4.00
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.40
11.80
–
Opponent shots
16.60
15.80
–
Match total
25.00
27.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
3.00
–
Opponent on target
7.80
4.60
–
Match total
11.20
7.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
10.00
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
12.40
–
Match total
22.00
22.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
0.80
2.40
–
Opponent offsides
4.80
2.00
–
Match total
5.60
4.40
–
Possession
All games
39%
48%
–
Home games
38%
43%
–
Away games
39%
56%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
Genoa
Scored · 3
0%
34%
0%
33%
33%
0%
Conceded · 10
10%
30%
20%
0%
0%
40%
40%
Scored first
20%
20%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: Lecce 2 of 5, Genoa 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
At half-time
20%80%
Leading 0
Level 1
Trailing 4
0.20
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 5 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 1 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
