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6 Jan 2027-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
30%
30%
40%
Lecce 30%
Draw 30%
Parma 40%
0.9 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
14% chance
Most Likely Score
34%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lecce · all games
Parma · all games
1.00
Goals scored per game
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded per game
1.40
0.68x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.56x
1.41x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.95x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs AC Milan (A) 3-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Genoa (H) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings
33%
17%
50%
Lecce wins 2
Draws 1
Parma wins 3
Goals 10 (1.67 per game)
Goals 11 (1.83 per game)
83%
5
of 6
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
4
of 6
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
3
of 6
Over 3.5 Goals
67%
4
of 6
Both Teams Scored
17%
1
of 6
Lecce Clean Sheets
17%
1
of 6
Parma Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 6 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
L
W
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Lecce at home 1.50 vs Parma away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
108
days rest
AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
108
days rest
Parma 2-1 Genoa
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
3.00
4.50
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
0.67
Conceded
2.00
3.00
1.33
Both teams scored
20%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
33%
Failed to score
60%
50%
67%
xG
1.06
0.94
1.14
xGA
2.38
3.03
1.95
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
33%
0%
Goals per game
2.20
2.00
2.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.40
1.00
2.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
0.68
0.67
0.70
xGA
1.58
1.12
2.28
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lecce
LEC
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
50%
54%
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
Under 2.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
50%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
58%
BTTS & win
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Lecce
LEC
Parma
PAR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 4/5
60% 3/5
70%
–
Over 1.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
10%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
0.50 away
Lecce scored 3 in 2 home games
Parma scored 1 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Parma
PAR
Scored over 0.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Failed to score
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
3.00 at home
2.00 away
Lecce conceded 6 in 2 home games
Parma conceded 4 in 2 away games
Lecce
LEC
Parma
PAR
Conceded over 0.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
60% 3/5
40% 2/5
Conceded over 2.5
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Clean sheets
20% 1/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Lecce
LEC
Parma
PAR
League
Corners
Corners won
3.40
3.40
–
Corners conceded
4.20
6.20
–
Match total
7.60
9.60
9.50
Over 8.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
–
Cards
Cards
2.00
1.60
–
Opponent cards
0.60
2.00
–
Match total
2.60
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Shots
Shots
8.40
8.20
–
Opponent shots
16.60
18.40
–
Match total
25.00
26.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
3.40
2.80
–
Opponent on target
7.80
5.60
–
Match total
11.20
8.40
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.60
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
9.40
16.20
–
Match total
22.00
27.20
–
Offsides
Offsides
0.80
1.40
–
Opponent offsides
4.80
2.00
–
Match total
5.60
3.40
–
Possession
All games
39%
43%
–
Home games
38%
45%
–
Away games
39%
39%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lecce
Scored · 5
40%
20%
0%
20%
0%
20%
Conceded · 10
20%
40%
0%
0%
30%
10%
Parma
Scored · 4
0%
0%
25%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 7
0%
14%
14%
0%
29%
43%
40%
Scored first
20%
20%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Lecce 2 of 5, Parma 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 32nd 2
At half-time
20%40%40%
Leading 1
Level 2
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 4 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 2 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
