|
17 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
59%
25%
16%
Lille 59%
Draw 25%
Auxerre 16%
1.6 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-0
17% chance
Most Likely Score
39%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
LIL · at home
AUX · away
1.50
Goals scored per game
0.88
0.94
Goals conceded per game
1.69
0.93x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.72x
0.77x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.04x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 32 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs LE Havre (H) 1-1 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Angers (H) 3-1 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
44
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings
67%
33%
Lille wins 2
Draws 1
Auxerre wins 0
Goals 9 (3.00 per game)
Goals 5 (1.67 per game)
100%
3
of 3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
2
of 3
Over 3.5 Goals
100%
3
of 3
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 3
Lille Clean Sheets
0%
0
of 3
Auxerre Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 3 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
D
W
D
W
W
D
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
1.81
17-7-8
PPG Overall
1.81
8-5-3
PPG at Home
1.81
9-2-5
PPG Away
W
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
D
W
L
D
D
L
0.88
6-10-16
PPG Overall
1.19
5-4-7
PPG at Home
0.56
1-6-9
PPG Away
Venue form: Lille at home +223% on points per game vs Auxerre away (1.81 vs 0.56)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Lille 1-1 LE Havre
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
14
days rest
Auxerre 3-1 Angers
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
53%
50%
56%
Goals per game
2.69
2.44
2.94
Scored
1.59
1.50
1.69
Conceded
1.09
0.94
1.25
Both teams scored
41%
50%
31%
Clean sheets
38%
38%
38%
Failed to score
28%
19%
38%
xG
1.57
1.68
1.47
xGA
1.07
0.89
1.24
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
19%
31%
6%
Goals per game
2.28
2.00
2.56
Scored
0.94
1.00
0.88
Conceded
1.34
1.00
1.69
Both teams scored
41%
31%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
44%
6%
Failed to score
50%
50%
50%
xG
1.02
1.19
0.85
xGA
1.31
1.15
1.48
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lille
LIL
Auxerre
AUX
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
94% 30/32
84% 27/32
89%
–
Over 1.5
66% 21/32
59% 19/32
63%
72%
Over 2.5
41% 13/32
44% 14/32
42%
53%
Over 3.5
22% 7/32
28% 9/32
25%
33%
Over 4.5
19% 6/32
6% 2/32
13%
–
Under 2.5
59% 19/32
56% 18/32
58%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
41% 13/32
41% 13/32
41%
51%
BTTS & win
22% 7/32
9% 3/32
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
28% 9/32
34% 11/32
31%
–
Lille
LIL
Auxerre
AUX
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
66% 21/32
63% 20/32
64%
–
Over 1.5
19% 6/32
28% 9/32
23%
–
Over 2.5
3% 1/32
13% 4/32
8%
–
BTTS
9% 3/32
22% 7/32
16%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.50 at home
0.88 away
Lille scored 24 in 16 home games
Auxerre scored 14 in 16 away games
Lille
LIL
Auxerre
AUX
Scored over 0.5
72% 23/32
50% 16/32
Scored over 1.5
34% 11/32
28% 9/32
Scored over 2.5
22% 7/32
16% 5/32
Failed to score
28% 9/32
50% 16/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.94 at home
1.69 away
Lille conceded 15 in 16 home games
Auxerre conceded 27 in 16 away games
Lille
LIL
Auxerre
AUX
Conceded over 0.5
63% 20/32
75% 24/32
Conceded over 1.5
28% 9/32
41% 13/32
Conceded over 2.5
16% 5/32
16% 5/32
Clean sheets
38% 12/32
25% 8/32
Streaks
Match Totals
Lille
LIL
Auxerre
AUX
League
Corners
Corners won
5.81
4.59
–
Corners conceded
3.78
4.66
–
Match total
9.59
9.25
9.49
Over 8.5
53% 17/32
63% 20/32
–
Over 9.5
47% 15/32
41% 13/32
–
Over 10.5
38% 12/32
28% 9/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.28
2.16
–
Opponent cards
2.03
2.72
–
Match total
4.31
4.88
3.97
Over 3.5
66% 21/32
75% 24/32
–
Over 4.5
44% 14/32
50% 16/32
–
Shots
Shots
13.59
10.59
–
Opponent shots
9.00
11.41
–
Match total
22.59
22.00
24.23
Shots on target
On target
4.69
3.69
–
Opponent on target
3.22
4.28
–
Match total
7.91
7.97
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.78
13.44
–
Opponent fouls
13.16
13.63
–
Match total
23.94
27.06
–
Possession
All games
56%
44%
–
Home games
56%
43%
–
Away games
56%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lille
Scored · 51
10%
10%
10%
17%
8%
45%
Conceded · 35
9%
11%
17%
26%
20%
17%
Auxerre
Scored · 30
20%
10%
20%
10%
23%
17%
Conceded · 43
9%
21%
14%
16%
12%
28%
57%
Scored first
37%
45%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Lille 17 of 30, Auxerre 10 of 27 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
34%41%25%
Leading 11
Level 13
Trailing 8
1.44
points per game
At half-time
91%
10 of 11
Led at HT, won
13%
1 of 8
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 36
At half-time
19%53%28%
Leading 6
Level 17
Trailing 9
1.09
points per game
At half-time
83%
5 of 6
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 152nd 15
14
Points won from losing positions in 14 · 18 games
2
6
Points dropped from winning positions in 20 · 11 games
11
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
