|
17 May 2026-7:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
46%
25%
29%
Lyon 46%
Draw 25%
Lens 29%
1.6 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-1
12% chance
Most Likely Score
53%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Lyon · at home
LEN · away
1.88
Goals scored per game
1.69
0.88
Goals conceded per game
1.38
1.16x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.38x
0.72x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.85x
Average: 1.62 home goals and 1.22 away goals per game in Ligue 1 2025-2026
Based on 32 + 32 Ligue 1 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Rennes (H) 4-2 · 3 May 2026
44
Substitutes
10
99
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs Nantes (H) 1-0 · 8 May 2026
Substitutes
27
41
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings
50%
50%
Lyon wins 2
Draws 0
Lens wins 2
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
Goals 5 (1.25 per game)
50%
2
of 4
Over 1.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
1
of 4
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
2
of 4
Both Teams Scored
25%
1
of 4
Lyon Clean Sheets
25%
1
of 4
Lens Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 4 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
L
D
D
L
L
1.88
18-6-8
PPG Overall
2.31
12-1-3
PPG at Home
1.44
6-5-5
PPG Away
W
D
D
W
L
W
D
D
W
L
W
L
W
D
L
2.09
21-4-7
PPG Overall
2.63
14-0-2
PPG at Home
1.56
7-4-5
PPG Away
Venue form: Lyon at home +48% on points per game vs Lens away (2.31 vs 1.56)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Lyon 4-2 Rennes
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
9
days rest
Lens 1-0 Nantes
1 game in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
56%
75%
38%
Goals per game
2.69
2.75
2.63
Scored
1.63
1.88
1.38
Conceded
1.06
0.88
1.25
Both teams scored
50%
50%
50%
Clean sheets
47%
50%
44%
Failed to score
16%
0%
31%
xG
1.44
1.70
1.19
xGA
1.26
1.08
1.45
Overall
Home
Away
Played
32
16
16
Win %
66%
88%
44%
Goals per game
2.97
2.88
3.06
Scored
1.94
2.19
1.69
Conceded
1.03
0.69
1.38
Both teams scored
53%
44%
63%
Clean sheets
34%
50%
19%
Failed to score
16%
6%
25%
xG
1.89
2.13
1.64
xGA
1.21
1.02
1.40
Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Lyon
LYO
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
88% 28/32
97% 31/32
92%
–
Over 1.5
63% 20/32
81% 26/32
72%
72%
Over 2.5
53% 17/32
66% 21/32
59%
53%
Over 3.5
31% 10/32
28% 9/32
30%
33%
Over 4.5
22% 7/32
19% 6/32
20%
–
Under 2.5
47% 15/32
34% 11/32
41%
47%
Both teams score
BTTS
50% 16/32
53% 17/32
52%
51%
BTTS & win
22% 7/32
34% 11/32
28%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
47% 15/32
47% 15/32
47%
–
Lyon
LYO
Lens
LEN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
69% 22/32
78% 25/32
73%
–
Over 1.5
31% 10/32
38% 12/32
34%
–
Over 2.5
13% 4/32
13% 4/32
13%
–
BTTS
22% 7/32
19% 6/32
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games, 2.84 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.88 at home
1.69 away
Lyon scored 30 in 16 home games
Lens scored 27 in 16 away games
Lyon
LYO
Lens
LEN
Scored over 0.5
84% 27/32
84% 27/32
Scored over 1.5
47% 15/32
59% 19/32
Scored over 2.5
22% 7/32
34% 11/32
Failed to score
16% 5/32
16% 5/32
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.88 at home
1.38 away
Lyon conceded 14 in 16 home games
Lens conceded 22 in 16 away games
Lyon
LYO
Lens
LEN
Conceded over 0.5
53% 17/32
66% 21/32
Conceded over 1.5
34% 11/32
25% 8/32
Conceded over 2.5
19% 6/32
13% 4/32
Clean sheets
47% 15/32
34% 11/32
Streaks
Match Totals
Lyon
LYO
Lens
LEN
League
Corners
Corners won
5.10
6.33
–
Corners conceded
5.07
3.63
–
Match total
10.17
9.97
9.49
Over 8.5
73% 22/30
63% 19/30
–
Over 9.5
47% 14/30
57% 17/30
–
Over 10.5
30% 9/30
40% 12/30
–
Cards
Cards
1.97
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.50
2.25
–
Match total
4.47
4.25
3.97
Over 3.5
69% 22/32
66% 21/32
–
Over 4.5
44% 14/32
44% 14/32
–
Shots
Shots
11.66
16.06
–
Opponent shots
11.56
10.63
–
Match total
23.22
26.69
24.23
Shots on target
On target
4.56
5.30
–
Opponent on target
3.78
3.63
–
Match total
8.34
8.93
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.06
12.81
–
Opponent fouls
13.19
12.19
–
Match total
26.25
25.00
–
Possession
All games
54%
52%
–
Home games
56%
53%
–
Away games
53%
50%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Ligue 1 2025-2026 (287 games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Lyon
Scored · 52
12%
17%
23%
19%
12%
17%
Conceded · 34
6%
6%
20%
12%
15%
41%
Lens
Scored · 62
10%
10%
18%
24%
14%
24%
Conceded · 33
22%
18%
18%
9%
21%
12%
75%
Scored first
61%
17%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Lyon 21 of 28, Lens 19 of 31 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
47%41%13%
Leading 15
Level 13
Trailing 4
1.81
points per game
At half-time
67%
10 of 15
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 272nd 25
At half-time
38%34%28%
Leading 12
Level 11
Trailing 9
1.47
points per game
At half-time
92%
11 of 12
Led at HT, won
44%
4 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 232nd 39
7
Points won from losing positions in 11 · 13 games
14
14
Points dropped from winning positions in 23 · 23 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Ligue 1 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
