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18 Apr 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
24%
42%
34%
Malaga 24%
Draw 42%
Valencia 34%
0.5 – 0.7
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
31% chance
Most Likely Score
12%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
MAL · at home
Valencia · away
0.67
Goals scored per game
0.67
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.33
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.50x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.78x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Getafe (A) 1-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Sociedad (H) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
33
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
L
D
L
0.43
0-3-4
PPG Overall
0.67
0-2-1
PPG at Home
0.25
0-1-3
PPG Away
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
D
0.57
1-1-5
PPG Overall
0.25
0-1-3
PPG at Home
1.00
1-0-2
PPG Away
Venue form: Valencia away +49% on points per game vs Malaga at home (1.00 vs 0.67)
Rest & Schedule
210
days rest
Getafe 1-0 Malaga
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
210
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
0%
0%
0%
Goals per game
2.14
2.00
2.25
Scored
0.43
0.67
0.25
Conceded
1.71
1.33
2.00
Both teams scored
43%
67%
25%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
57%
33%
75%
xG
0.84
1.35
0.45
xGA
1.66
1.75
1.60
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
4
3
Win %
14%
0%
33%
Goals per game
2.43
2.75
2.00
Scored
0.57
0.50
0.67
Conceded
1.86
2.25
1.33
Both teams scored
29%
25%
33%
Clean sheets
29%
25%
33%
Failed to score
57%
75%
33%
xG
0.87
0.98
0.72
xGA
1.64
2.03
1.13
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Malaga
MAL
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
57%
77%
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
57%
Over 3.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
36%
39%
Over 4.5
0% 0/7
29% 2/7
14%
–
Under 2.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
64%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
0%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
21%
–
Malaga
MAL
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
43% 3/7
50%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
29% 2/7
36%
–
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
14% 1/7
21%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
0.67 away
Malaga scored 2 in 3 home games
Valencia scored 2 in 3 away games
Malaga
MAL
Valencia
VAL
Scored over 0.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
Scored over 1.5
0% 0/7
14% 1/7
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/7
Failed to score
57% 4/7
57% 4/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.33 away
Malaga conceded 4 in 3 home games
Valencia conceded 4 in 3 away games
Malaga
MAL
Valencia
VAL
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
Conceded over 1.5
43% 3/7
43% 3/7
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
43% 3/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
Streaks
Match Totals
Malaga
MAL
Valencia
VAL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.43
4.43
–
Corners conceded
5.29
3.71
–
Match total
10.71
8.14
9.65
Over 8.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 9.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
–
Cards
Cards
2.57
2.00
–
Opponent cards
2.00
2.00
–
Match total
4.57
4.00
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
57% 4/7
–
Over 4.5
71% 5/7
43% 3/7
–
Shots
Shots
10.00
10.57
–
Opponent shots
14.86
15.29
–
Match total
24.86
25.86
26.46
Shots on target
On target
2.00
2.71
–
Opponent on target
5.71
4.71
–
Match total
7.71
7.43
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.86
10.57
–
Opponent fouls
11.71
10.71
–
Match total
24.57
21.29
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.29
2.29
–
Opponent offsides
2.14
2.14
–
Match total
3.43
4.43
–
Possession
All games
51%
48%
–
Home games
52%
42%
–
Away games
50%
55%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Malaga
Scored · 3
34%
0%
33%
0%
0%
33%
Conceded · 12
0%
34%
25%
0%
8%
33%
Valencia
Scored · 4
0%
25%
0%
25%
0%
50%
Conceded · 13
16%
23%
0%
15%
0%
46%
17%
Scored first
17%
33%
Goals after 75'
50%
Scored first: Malaga 1 of 6, Valencia 1 of 6 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 1
At half-time
57%43%
Leading 0
Level 4
Trailing 3
0.57
points per game
At half-time
–
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 12nd 3
2
Points won from losing positions in 6 · 5 games
0
3
Points dropped from winning positions in 1 · 1 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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