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17 Jan 2027-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
66%
19%
15%
Napoli 66%
Draw 19%
Fiorentina 15%
2.3 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
64%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Napoli · all games
Fiorentina · all games
1.40
Goals scored per game
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded per game
2.40
0.95x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.85x
0.85x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.62x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (A) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Napoli (H) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
60%
20%
20%
Napoli wins 6
Draws 2
Fiorentina wins 2
Goals 17 (1.70 per game)
Goals 11 (1.10 per game)
80%
8
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
3
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
Napoli Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
Fiorentina Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
L
W
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.33
1-1-1
PPG Away
Rest & Schedule
119
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
119
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.60
2.00
3.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
1.67
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.33
Both teams scored
60%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.44
1.29
1.53
xGA
1.40
0.67
1.89
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
20%
0%
50%
Goals per game
3.60
2.67
5.00
Scored
1.20
0.67
2.00
Conceded
2.40
2.00
3.00
Both teams scored
60%
67%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
40%
33%
50%
xG
1.72
1.65
1.83
xGA
1.33
1.03
1.78
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Napoli
NAP
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
100% 5/5
90%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
60%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
10%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
40% 2/5
40%
–
Napoli
NAP
Fiorentina
FIO
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
2.00 away
Napoli scored 2 in 2 home games
Fiorentina scored 4 in 2 away games
Napoli
NAP
Fiorentina
FIO
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
3.00 away
Napoli conceded 2 in 2 home games
Fiorentina conceded 6 in 2 away games
Napoli
NAP
Fiorentina
FIO
Conceded over 0.5
60% 3/5
100% 5/5
Conceded over 1.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
Clean sheets
40% 2/5
0% 0/5
Streaks
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Scored all 5 this season
2
Unbeaten last loss 3 games ago
5
Conceded all 5 this season
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
Match Totals
Napoli
NAP
Fiorentina
FIO
League
Corners
Corners won
5.40
4.40
–
Corners conceded
5.20
3.80
–
Match total
10.60
8.20
9.50
Over 8.5
100% 5/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
1.80
–
Opponent cards
1.40
1.40
–
Match total
2.20
3.20
3.26
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
13.80
16.80
–
Opponent shots
16.60
11.80
–
Match total
30.40
28.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
4.20
5.60
–
Opponent on target
4.40
5.20
–
Match total
8.60
10.80
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.60
11.00
–
Opponent fouls
8.60
13.00
–
Match total
18.20
24.00
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.20
1.00
–
Opponent offsides
1.00
1.20
–
Match total
4.20
2.20
–
Possession
All games
50%
43%
–
Home games
50%
47%
–
Away games
50%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Napoli
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
0%
17%
17%
33%
0%
33%
Fiorentina
Scored · 6
0%
33%
0%
33%
17%
17%
Conceded · 12
0%
33%
8%
17%
17%
25%
80%
Scored first
20%
29%
Goals after 75'
17%
Scored first: Napoli 4 of 5, Fiorentina 1 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
At half-time
20%20%60%
Leading 1
Level 1
Trailing 3
0.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
33%
1 of 3
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 4
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
4
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 2 games
3
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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