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31 Jan 2027-5:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
22%
18%
60%
Napoli 22%
Draw 18%
Inter 60%
1.5 – 2.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
1-2
8% chance
Most Likely Score
77%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Napoli · all games
Inter · all games
1.40
Goals scored per game
3.00
1.20
Goals conceded per game
1.60
0.95x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.11x
0.85x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.08x
Average: 1.48 home goals and 1.42 away goals per game in Serie A 2026-2027
Based on 5 + 5 Serie A 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Fiorentina (A) 1-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-1-4-2
vs AS Roma (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
20%
40%
40%
Napoli wins 2
Draws 4
Inter wins 4
Goals 15 (1.50 per game)
Goals 17 (1.70 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Both Teams Scored
0%
0
of 10
Napoli Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Inter Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Form & Points per Game
D
W
L
L
W
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Overall
1.50
1-0-1
PPG at Home
1.33
1-1-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Inter away +33% on points per game vs Napoli at home (2.00 vs 1.50)
Rest & Schedule
133
days rest
Fiorentina 1-1 Napoli
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
134
days rest
AS Roma 2-2 Inter
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
2
3
Win %
40%
50%
33%
Goals per game
2.60
2.00
3.00
Scored
1.40
1.00
1.67
Conceded
1.20
1.00
1.33
Both teams scored
60%
50%
67%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
33%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
1.44
1.29
1.53
xGA
1.40
0.67
1.89
Overall
Home
Away
Played
5
3
2
Win %
80%
100%
50%
Goals per game
4.60
6.00
2.50
Scored
3.00
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
2.00
1.00
Both teams scored
80%
100%
50%
Clean sheets
20%
0%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
xG
2.90
2.65
3.27
xGA
1.34
1.53
1.07
Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Napoli
NAP
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 4/5
80% 4/5
80%
82%
Over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
54%
Over 3.5
20% 1/5
80% 4/5
50%
28%
Over 4.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
Under 2.5
60% 3/5
20% 1/5
40%
46%
Both teams score
BTTS
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
70%
58%
BTTS & win
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
30%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Napoli
NAP
Inter
INT
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
60%
–
Over 1.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
40%
–
Over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
20%
–
BTTS
20% 1/5
40% 2/5
30%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games, 2.90 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.50 away
Napoli scored 2 in 2 home games
Inter scored 3 in 2 away games
Napoli
NAP
Inter
INT
Scored over 0.5
100% 5/5
100% 5/5
Scored over 1.5
40% 2/5
80% 4/5
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/5
60% 3/5
Failed to score
0% 0/5
0% 0/5
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.00 away
Napoli conceded 2 in 2 home games
Inter conceded 2 in 2 away games
Napoli
NAP
Inter
INT
Conceded over 0.5
60% 3/5
80% 4/5
Conceded over 1.5
40% 2/5
60% 3/5
Conceded over 2.5
20% 1/5
20% 1/5
Clean sheets
40% 2/5
20% 1/5
Streaks
Match Totals
Napoli
NAP
Inter
INT
League
Corners
Corners won
5.40
6.20
–
Corners conceded
5.20
4.20
–
Match total
10.60
10.40
9.50
Over 8.5
100% 5/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 9.5
60% 3/5
60% 3/5
–
Over 10.5
20% 1/5
60% 3/5
–
Cards
Cards
0.80
1.60
–
Opponent cards
1.40
2.00
–
Match total
2.20
3.60
3.26
Over 3.5
0% 0/5
40% 2/5
–
Over 4.5
0% 0/5
20% 1/5
–
Shots
Shots
13.80
23.20
–
Opponent shots
16.60
11.40
–
Match total
30.40
34.60
29.14
Shots on target
On target
4.20
7.40
–
Opponent on target
4.40
3.80
–
Match total
8.60
11.20
–
Fouls
Fouls
9.60
6.60
–
Opponent fouls
8.60
9.80
–
Match total
18.20
16.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
3.20
1.60
–
Opponent offsides
1.00
3.60
–
Match total
4.20
5.20
–
Possession
All games
50%
63%
–
Home games
50%
66%
–
Away games
50%
58%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2026-2027 (50 games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Napoli
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
0%
17%
17%
33%
0%
33%
Inter
Scored · 15
13%
7%
7%
33%
13%
27%
Conceded · 8
25%
25%
13%
25%
0%
12%
80%
Scored first
40%
29%
Goals after 75'
27%
Scored first: Napoli 4 of 5, Inter 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
0%
0 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
At half-time
20%60%20%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 1
1.20
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
100%
1 of 1
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 42nd 11
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 3 games
7
5
Points dropped from winning positions in 4 · 4 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
