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17 May 2026-5:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
23%
37%
40%
Oviedo 23%
Draw 37%
Alaves 40%
0.6 – 0.9
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-0
23% chance
Most Likely Score
18%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
OVI · at home
ALA · away
0.53
Goals scored per game
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded per game
1.72
0.34x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
0.88x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.10x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 34 + 35 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Betis (A) 3-0 · 3 May 2026
23
Substitutes
27
Last game lineup
5-3-2
vs Elche (A) 1-1 · 9 May 2026
22
Substitutes
34
27
20
Head to Head
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Opponent
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
Points on these 5
3 of 27 · 0.33 per game
14 of 30 · 1.40 per game
Form & Points per Game
L
L
D
W
W
L
L
D
W
W
L
W
D
L
L
0.82
6-10-18
PPG Overall
1.06
4-6-7
PPG at Home
0.59
2-4-11
PPG Away
D
L
W
L
D
D
L
W
L
D
D
W
D
L
L
1.06
9-10-16
PPG Overall
1.41
6-6-5
PPG at Home
0.72
3-4-11
PPG Away
Venue form: Oviedo at home +47% on points per game vs Alaves away (1.06 vs 0.72)
Rest & Schedule
14
days rest
Real Betis 3-0 Oviedo
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
8
days rest
Elche 1-1 Alaves
1 game in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
18%
24%
12%
Goals per game
2.35
1.53
3.18
Scored
0.76
0.53
1.00
Conceded
1.59
1.00
2.18
Both teams scored
35%
29%
41%
Clean sheets
26%
47%
6%
Failed to score
50%
47%
53%
xG
0.91
0.78
1.05
xGA
1.53
1.26
1.79
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
26%
35%
17%
Goals per game
2.71
2.71
2.72
Scored
1.17
1.35
1.00
Conceded
1.54
1.35
1.72
Both teams scored
66%
76%
56%
Clean sheets
9%
12%
6%
Failed to score
29%
18%
39%
xG
1.20
1.29
1.13
xGA
1.27
1.09
1.44
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
88% 30/34
97% 34/35
93%
–
Over 1.5
68% 23/34
74% 26/35
71%
79%
Over 2.5
41% 14/34
51% 18/35
46%
51%
Over 3.5
18% 6/34
26% 9/35
22%
26%
Over 4.5
12% 4/34
11% 4/35
12%
–
Under 2.5
59% 20/34
49% 17/35
54%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
35% 12/34
66% 23/35
51%
57%
BTTS & win
3% 1/34
20% 7/35
11%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
24% 8/34
49% 17/35
36%
–
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
68% 23/34
63% 22/35
65%
–
Over 1.5
29% 10/34
26% 9/35
28%
–
Over 2.5
3% 1/34
9% 3/35
6%
–
BTTS
9% 3/34
23% 8/35
16%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.53 at home
1.00 away
Oviedo scored 9 in 17 home games
Alaves scored 18 in 18 away games
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
Scored over 0.5
50% 17/34
71% 25/35
Scored over 1.5
18% 6/34
34% 12/35
Scored over 2.5
9% 3/34
9% 3/35
Failed to score
50% 17/34
29% 10/35
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.00 at home
1.72 away
Oviedo conceded 17 in 17 home games
Alaves conceded 31 in 18 away games
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
Conceded over 0.5
74% 25/34
91% 32/35
Conceded over 1.5
50% 17/34
40% 14/35
Conceded over 2.5
29% 10/34
20% 7/35
Clean sheets
26% 9/34
9% 3/35
Streaks
Match Totals
Oviedo
OVI
Alaves
ALA
League
Corners
Corners won
3.81
5.03
–
Corners conceded
5.69
5.16
–
Match total
9.50
10.19
9.65
Over 8.5
63% 20/32
66% 21/32
–
Over 9.5
50% 16/32
56% 18/32
–
Over 10.5
41% 13/32
50% 16/32
–
Cards
Cards
2.21
2.51
–
Opponent cards
1.50
2.17
–
Match total
3.71
4.69
4.62
Over 3.5
47% 16/34
71% 25/35
–
Over 4.5
32% 11/34
51% 18/35
–
Shots
Shots
9.88
12.09
–
Opponent shots
14.38
12.43
–
Match total
24.26
24.51
24.67
Shots on target
On target
3.24
4.18
–
Opponent on target
5.73
4.06
–
Match total
8.97
8.24
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.67
14.77
–
Opponent fouls
11.55
13.49
–
Match total
24.21
28.26
–
Possession
All games
46%
49%
–
Home games
49%
51%
–
Away games
43%
48%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Oviedo
Scored · 26
8%
8%
31%
19%
15%
19%
Conceded · 54
11%
17%
15%
15%
18%
24%
Alaves
Scored · 41
20%
7%
15%
15%
19%
24%
Conceded · 54
11%
17%
7%
20%
17%
28%
43%
Scored first
38%
19%
Goals after 75'
24%
Scored first: Oviedo 13 of 30, Alaves 13 of 34 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
21%41%38%
Leading 7
Level 14
Trailing 13
1.03
points per game
At half-time
57%
4 of 7
Led at HT, won
15%
2 of 13
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 122nd 14
At half-time
20%54%26%
Leading 7
Level 19
Trailing 9
1.14
points per game
At half-time
57%
4 of 7
Led at HT, won
33%
3 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 172nd 24
6
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 26 games
16
19
Points dropped from winning positions in 14 · 16 games
17
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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