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24 May 2026-1:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
21%
28%
51%
Parma 21%
Draw 28%
Sassuolo 51%
0.8 – 1.3
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
16% chance
Most Likely Score
35%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Parma · at home
Sassuolo · away
0.76
Goals scored per game
1.17
1.29
Goals conceded per game
1.28
0.60x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.04x
1.15x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.00x
Average: 1.28 home goals and 1.12 away goals per game in Serie A 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 36 Serie A 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
3-5-2
vs Inter (A) 2-0 · 3 May 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-3-3
vs Torino (A) 2-1 · 8 May 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
43%
43%
14%
Parma wins 3
Draws 3
Sassuolo wins 1
Goals 7 (1.00 per game)
Goals 6 (0.86 per game)
57%
4
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Parma Clean Sheets
14%
1
of 7
Sassuolo Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
D
D
L
W
W
D
D
L
L
D
D
W
1.20
10-12-13
PPG Overall
1.06
4-6-7
PPG at Home
1.33
6-6-6
PPG Away
L
W
D
W
L
L
W
D
W
L
W
D
L
L
W
1.36
14-7-15
PPG Overall
1.61
9-2-7
PPG at Home
1.11
5-5-8
PPG Away
Venue form: Sassuolo away +5% on points per game vs Parma at home (1.11 vs 1.06)
Rest & Schedule
21
days rest
Inter 2-0 Parma
0 games in 14 days · 2 in 30 days
16
days rest
Torino 2-1 Sassuolo
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
17
18
Win %
29%
24%
33%
Goals per game
1.91
2.06
1.78
Scored
0.71
0.76
0.67
Conceded
1.20
1.29
1.11
Both teams scored
40%
47%
33%
Clean sheets
34%
24%
44%
Failed to score
43%
41%
44%
xG
0.84
0.90
0.80
xGA
1.41
1.41
1.40
Overall
Home
Away
Played
36
18
18
Win %
39%
50%
28%
Goals per game
2.50
2.56
2.44
Scored
1.22
1.28
1.17
Conceded
1.28
1.28
1.28
Both teams scored
53%
44%
61%
Clean sheets
22%
22%
22%
Failed to score
31%
33%
28%
xG
1.07
0.99
1.15
xGA
1.42
1.30
1.53
Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Parma
PAR
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
83% 29/35
94% 34/36
89%
–
Over 1.5
60% 21/35
75% 27/36
68%
70%
Over 2.5
29% 10/35
56% 20/36
42%
45%
Over 3.5
14% 5/35
19% 7/36
17%
22%
Over 4.5
6% 2/35
6% 2/36
6%
–
Under 2.5
71% 25/35
44% 16/36
58%
55%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 14/35
53% 19/36
46%
45%
BTTS & win
11% 4/35
22% 8/36
17%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
26% 9/35
44% 16/36
35%
–
Parma
PAR
Sassuolo
SAS
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
51% 18/35
75% 27/36
63%
–
Over 1.5
20% 7/35
31% 11/36
25%
–
Over 2.5
3% 1/35
6% 2/36
4%
–
BTTS
14% 5/35
17% 6/36
15%
–
% of each club's games · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games, 2.41 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.76 at home
1.17 away
Parma scored 13 in 17 home games
Sassuolo scored 21 in 18 away games
Parma
PAR
Sassuolo
SAS
Scored over 0.5
57% 20/35
69% 25/36
Scored over 1.5
14% 5/35
39% 14/36
Scored over 2.5
0% 0/35
14% 5/36
Failed to score
43% 15/35
31% 11/36
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.29 at home
1.28 away
Parma conceded 22 in 17 home games
Sassuolo conceded 23 in 18 away games
Parma
PAR
Sassuolo
SAS
Conceded over 0.5
66% 23/35
78% 28/36
Conceded over 1.5
34% 12/35
36% 13/36
Conceded over 2.5
11% 4/35
8% 3/36
Clean sheets
34% 12/35
22% 8/36
Streaks
Match Totals
Parma
PAR
Sassuolo
SAS
League
Corners
Corners won
4.24
3.78
–
Corners conceded
4.79
4.89
–
Match total
9.03
8.67
8.83
Over 8.5
55% 18/33
56% 20/36
–
Over 9.5
39% 13/33
44% 16/36
–
Over 10.5
33% 11/33
31% 11/36
–
Cards
Cards
1.66
2.42
–
Opponent cards
2.06
2.00
–
Match total
3.71
4.42
3.88
Over 3.5
57% 20/35
64% 23/36
–
Over 4.5
34% 12/35
42% 15/36
–
Shots
Shots
10.63
10.56
–
Opponent shots
13.94
14.28
–
Match total
24.57
24.83
24.38
Shots on target
On target
3.10
3.75
–
Opponent on target
4.23
4.86
–
Match total
7.33
8.61
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.60
11.86
–
Opponent fouls
13.49
12.81
–
Match total
24.09
24.67
–
Possession
All games
44%
45%
–
Home games
46%
46%
–
Away games
43%
45%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Serie A 2025-2026 (354 games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Parma
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
16%
32%
Conceded · 42
17%
7%
14%
17%
19%
26%
Sassuolo
Scored · 44
18%
7%
16%
25%
23%
11%
Conceded · 46
22%
17%
9%
17%
13%
22%
41%
Scored first
41%
32%
Goals after 75'
11%
Scored first: Parma 12 of 29, Sassuolo 14 of 34 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
14%60%26%
Leading 5
Level 21
Trailing 9
1.03
points per game
At half-time
60%
3 of 5
Led at HT, won
22%
2 of 9
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 15
At half-time
25%36%39%
Leading 9
Level 13
Trailing 14
1.11
points per game
At half-time
100%
9 of 9
Led at HT, won
21%
3 of 14
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 182nd 26
7
Points won from losing positions in 18 · 22 games
13
7
Points dropped from winning positions in 13 · 17 games
7
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · Serie A 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Latest Games
