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19 Dec 2026-2:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
29%
29%
42%
RB Leipzig 29%
Draw 29%
Borussia Dortmund 42%
0.9 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
14% chance
Most Likely Score
36%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RB Leipzig · at home
Borussia Dortmund · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
2.00
0.60
Goals conceded per game
0.75
1.25x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
2.00x
0.60x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.31x
Average: 2.40 home goals and 1.00 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
3-4-2-1
vs VfB Stuttgart (A) 0-1 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
30%
10%
60%
RB Leipzig wins 3
Draws 1
Borussia Dortmund wins 6
Goals 17 (1.70 per game)
Goals 20 (2.00 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
8
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
5
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
70%
7
of 10
Both Teams Scored
10%
1
of 10
RB Leipzig Clean Sheets
20%
2
of 10
Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Common Opponents
Opponent
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Points on these 3
9 of 9 · 3.00 per game
9 of 9 · 3.00 per game
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.10
7-0-3
PPG Overall
3.00
5-0-0
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
W
D
W
2.60
8-2-0
PPG Overall
2.67
5-1-0
PPG at Home
2.50
3-1-0
PPG Away
Venue form: RB Leipzig at home +20% on points per game vs Borussia Dortmund away (3.00 vs 2.50)
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
90
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
91
days rest
VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
100%
40%
Goals per game
3.10
3.60
2.60
Scored
2.00
3.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
0.60
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
6
4
Win %
80%
83%
75%
Goals per game
3.70
4.33
2.75
Scored
3.00
3.67
2.00
Conceded
0.70
0.67
0.75
Both teams scored
40%
33%
50%
Clean sheets
60%
67%
50%
Failed to score
0%
0%
0%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
100% 10/10
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
85%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
70% 7/10
65%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
20% 2/10
25%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
35%
–
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
80% 8/10
80%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
60% 6/10
40%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
30% 3/10
20%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
2.00 away
RB Leipzig scored 15 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund scored 8 in 4 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
100% 10/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
80% 8/10
Scored over 2.5
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
0% 0/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
0.75 away
RB Leipzig conceded 3 in 5 home games
Borussia Dortmund conceded 3 in 4 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
40% 4/10
Conceded over 1.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
0% 0/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
60% 6/10
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run in the last 10 games
10
Unbeaten all of the last 10 games
10
Scored all of the last 10 games
2
Clean sheets in a row
4
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
RB Leipzig
RB
Borussia Dortmund
BOR
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
6.40
–
Corners conceded
4.67
4.10
–
Match total
9.67
10.50
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
70% 7/10
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
60% 6/10
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
40% 4/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.90
–
Opponent cards
2.10
1.80
–
Match total
4.00
3.70
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
50% 5/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.00
19.70
–
Opponent shots
10.80
10.70
–
Match total
28.80
30.40
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.30
7.10
–
Opponent on target
3.80
3.60
–
Match total
10.10
10.70
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.10
9.90
–
Opponent fouls
12.30
12.20
–
Match total
22.40
22.10
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.88
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
2.50
2.13
–
Match total
4.38
3.63
–
Possession
All games
57%
56%
–
Home games
56%
58%
–
Away games
58%
54%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
RB Leipzig
Scored · 20
5%
25%
0%
5%
25%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
Borussia Dortmund
Scored · 25
16%
12%
12%
12%
20%
28%
Conceded · 5
40%
20%
20%
20%
0%
0%
50%
Scored first
67%
40%
Goals after 75'
28%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: RB Leipzig 5 of 10, Borussia Dortmund 6 of 9 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%20%40%
Leading 4
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 of 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 14
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
100%
5 of 5
Led at HT, won
100%
2 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 142nd 16
6
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 3 games
5
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 7 games
0
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, Borussia Dortmund: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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