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3 Apr 2027-1:30 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
63%
20%
17%
RB Leipzig 63%
Draw 20%
SC Freiburg 17%
2.1 – 1.0
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-0
10% chance
Most Likely Score
59%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RB Leipzig · at home
SC Freiburg · away
3.00
Goals scored per game
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded per game
1.60
1.30x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
1.65x
0.71x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.70x
Average: 2.30 home goals and 0.85 away goals per game in both clubs' games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Based on 10 + 10 recent games in all competitions (attack × defence × both clubs' average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Bayer Leverkusen (A) 2-0 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A) 2-2 · 19 Sep 2026
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings
50%
30%
20%
RB Leipzig wins 5
Draws 3
SC Freiburg wins 2
Goals 16 (1.60 per game)
Goals 10 (1.00 per game)
90%
9
of 10
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
1
of 10
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
6
of 10
Both Teams Scored
30%
3
of 10
RB Leipzig Clean Sheets
10%
1
of 10
SC Freiburg Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 10 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
Points on these 3
9 of 12 · 2.25 per game
9 of 9 · 3.00 per game
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Form & Points per Game
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
2.10
7-0-3
PPG Overall
3.00
5-0-0
PPG at Home
1.20
2-0-3
PPG Away
D
W
W
W
L
D
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
1.90
6-1-3
PPG Overall
2.40
4-0-1
PPG at Home
1.40
2-1-2
PPG Away
Venue form: RB Leipzig at home +114% on points per game vs SC Freiburg away (3.00 vs 1.40)
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Rest & Schedule
195
days rest
Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
196
days rest
Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 SC Freiburg
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
70%
100%
40%
Goals per game
3.10
3.60
2.60
Scored
2.00
3.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
0.60
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
40%
40%
Clean sheets
40%
60%
20%
Failed to score
20%
0%
40%
Overall
Home
Away
Played
10
5
5
Win %
60%
80%
40%
Goals per game
3.20
3.40
3.00
Scored
2.20
3.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
0.40
1.60
Both teams scored
40%
20%
60%
Clean sheets
50%
60%
40%
Failed to score
10%
20%
0%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Goals
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 10/10
100% 10/10
100%
–
Over 1.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
75%
86%
Over 2.5
60% 6/10
60% 6/10
60%
78%
Over 3.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
45%
61%
Over 4.5
20% 2/10
30% 3/10
25%
–
Under 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
22%
Both teams score
BTTS
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
58%
BTTS & win
30% 3/10
10% 1/10
20%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
40% 4/10
40% 4/10
40%
–
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 8/10
70% 7/10
75%
–
Over 1.5
20% 2/10
50% 5/10
35%
–
Over 2.5
10% 1/10
20% 2/10
15%
–
BTTS
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
10%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
% of each club's games · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games, 3.81 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
3.00 at home
1.40 away
RB Leipzig scored 15 in 5 home games
SC Freiburg scored 7 in 5 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
Scored over 0.5
80% 8/10
90% 9/10
Scored over 1.5
50% 5/10
60% 6/10
Scored over 2.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Failed to score
20% 2/10
10% 1/10
Goals conceded per game at this venue
0.60 at home
1.60 away
RB Leipzig conceded 3 in 5 home games
SC Freiburg conceded 8 in 5 away games
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
Conceded over 0.5
60% 6/10
50% 5/10
Conceded over 1.5
40% 4/10
30% 3/10
Conceded over 2.5
10% 1/10
10% 1/10
Clean sheets
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Streaks
1
Lost last game
6
Longest win run in the last 10 games
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
7
Scored in a row
2
Over 2.5 goals in a row
3
Longest win run in the last 10 games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Match Totals
RB Leipzig
RB
SC Freiburg
SC
League
Corners
Corners won
5.00
5.30
–
Corners conceded
4.67
3.80
–
Match total
9.67
9.10
10.86
Over 8.5
67% 6/9
50% 5/10
–
Over 9.5
33% 3/9
30% 3/10
–
Over 10.5
33% 3/9
30% 3/10
–
Cards
Cards
1.90
1.60
–
Opponent cards
2.10
2.70
–
Match total
4.00
4.30
3.64
Over 3.5
50% 5/10
70% 7/10
–
Over 4.5
40% 4/10
50% 5/10
–
Shots
Shots
18.00
15.70
–
Opponent shots
10.80
10.90
–
Match total
28.80
26.60
31.03
Shots on target
On target
6.30
6.50
–
Opponent on target
3.80
3.10
–
Match total
10.10
9.60
–
Fouls
Fouls
10.10
10.20
–
Opponent fouls
12.30
14.20
–
Match total
22.40
24.40
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.88
1.71
–
Opponent offsides
2.50
1.14
–
Match total
4.38
2.86
–
Possession
All games
57%
49%
–
Home games
56%
49%
–
Away games
58%
49%
–
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = Bundesliga 2026-2027 (36 games)
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
RB Leipzig
Scored · 20
5%
25%
0%
5%
25%
40%
Conceded · 11
9%
19%
18%
18%
18%
18%
SC Freiburg
Scored · 22
5%
18%
18%
27%
14%
18%
Conceded · 10
20%
0%
30%
0%
10%
40%
50%
Scored first
70%
40%
Goals after 75'
18%
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Scored first: RB Leipzig 5 of 10, SC Freiburg 7 of 10 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period)
Halves & Game State
At half-time
40%20%40%
Leading 4
Level 2
Trailing 4
1.40
points per game
At half-time
100%
4 of 4
Led at HT, won
25%
1 of 4
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 62nd 14
At half-time
50%30%20%
Leading 5
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.80
points per game
At half-time
80%
4 of 5
Led at HT, won
50%
1 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 13
6
Points won from losing positions in 5 · 4 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 7 · 7 games
3
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games)
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
Not enough games this season (RB Leipzig: 4, SC Freiburg: 4), so these stats use each club's last 10 games in all competitions.
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