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16 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
100%
Real Madrid 100%
Draw 0%
Racing Santander 0%
9.4 – 0.5
goals per side
Expected Goals
9-0
12% chance
Most Likely Score
100%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
Real Madrid · at home
SAN · away
4.00
Goals scored per game
1.00
0.67
Goals conceded per game
4.00
2.34x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.75x
0.50x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
2.34x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 7 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Atletico Madrid (A) 2-1 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-1-4-1
vs Celta Vigo (A) 5-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
2.14
5-0-2
PPG Overall
3.00
3-0-0
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
D
1.00
2-1-4
PPG Overall
2.33
2-1-0
PPG at Home
0.00
0-0-4
PPG Away
Venue form: Real Madrid at home 3.00 vs Racing Santander away 0.00 points per game
Rest & Schedule
238
days rest
Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
239
days rest
Celta Vigo 5-0 Racing Santander
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
71%
100%
50%
Goals per game
3.71
4.67
3.00
Scored
2.57
4.00
1.50
Conceded
1.14
0.67
1.50
Both teams scored
71%
67%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
14%
0%
25%
xG
2.64
2.79
2.52
xGA
1.09
0.83
1.28
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
29%
67%
0%
Goals per game
4.57
4.00
5.00
Scored
1.57
2.33
1.00
Conceded
3.00
1.67
4.00
Both teams scored
71%
100%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
0%
0%
Failed to score
29%
0%
50%
xG
1.45
1.87
1.13
xGA
2.20
1.23
2.93
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Madrid
REA
Racing Santander
SAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 7/7
100% 7/7
100%
–
Over 1.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
77%
Over 2.5
86% 6/7
86% 6/7
86%
57%
Over 3.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
64%
39%
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
57% 4/7
50%
–
Under 2.5
14% 1/7
14% 1/7
14%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
58%
BTTS & win
57% 4/7
29% 2/7
43%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
71%
–
Real Madrid
REA
Racing Santander
SAN
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
79%
–
Over 2.5
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
57% 4/7
43%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
4.00 at home
1.00 away
Real Madrid scored 12 in 3 home games
Racing Santander scored 4 in 4 away games
Real Madrid
REA
Racing Santander
SAN
Scored over 0.5
86% 6/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 1.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
Scored over 2.5
57% 4/7
14% 1/7
Failed to score
14% 1/7
29% 2/7
Goals conceded per game at this venue
4.00 away
Real Madrid conceded 2 in 3 home games
Racing Santander conceded 16 in 4 away games
Real Madrid
REA
Racing Santander
SAN
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
100% 7/7
Conceded over 1.5
29% 2/7
71% 5/7
Conceded over 2.5
0% 0/7
43% 3/7
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
0% 0/7
Streaks
1
Lost last game
4
Conceded in a row
3
Scored in a row
3
Both teams scored in a row
3
Longest win run this season
2
Lost in a row
7
Conceded all 7 this season
5
Over 2.5 goals in a row
Match Totals
Real Madrid
REA
Racing Santander
SAN
League
Corners
Corners won
6.86
4.29
–
Corners conceded
4.14
9.14
–
Match total
11.00
13.43
9.65
Over 8.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
–
Over 9.5
57% 4/7
86% 6/7
–
Over 10.5
57% 4/7
71% 5/7
–
Cards
Cards
1.86
2.71
–
Opponent cards
2.86
2.71
–
Match total
4.71
5.43
4.42
Over 3.5
71% 5/7
86% 6/7
–
Over 4.5
71% 5/7
71% 5/7
–
Shots
Shots
18.86
10.29
–
Opponent shots
12.71
16.71
–
Match total
31.57
27.00
26.46
Shots on target
On target
7.57
4.00
–
Opponent on target
4.43
7.29
–
Match total
12.00
11.29
–
Fouls
Fouls
8.43
14.29
–
Opponent fouls
14.29
14.57
–
Match total
22.71
28.86
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.86
1.86
–
Opponent offsides
1.14
3.29
–
Match total
3.00
5.14
–
Possession
All games
52%
48%
–
Home games
54%
46%
–
Away games
51%
50%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Madrid
Scored · 18
11%
28%
17%
6%
5%
33%
Conceded · 8
0%
13%
13%
37%
12%
25%
Racing Santander
Scored · 11
18%
37%
27%
9%
9%
0%
Conceded · 21
5%
14%
33%
5%
10%
33%
71%
Scored first
43%
33%
Goals after 75'
0%
Scored first: Real Madrid 5 of 7, Racing Santander 3 of 7 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
43%57%
Leading 3
Level 4
Trailing 0
1.86
points per game
At half-time
100%
3 of 3
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 102nd 8
At half-time
14%57%29%
Leading 1
Level 4
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 2
0
Points won from losing positions in 2 · 5 games
3
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 5 · 4 games
5
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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