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2 May 2027-3:00 pm
days
hours
minutes
seconds
Stats Prediction
Result probability
12%
32%
56%
Real Sociedad 12%
Draw 32%
Athletic Club 56%
0.4 – 1.2
goals per side
Expected Goals
0-1
25% chance
Most Likely Score
21%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
22%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RSO · at home
BIL · all games
0.67
Goals scored per game
1.17
1.33
Goals conceded per game
1.00
0.39x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.88x
1.00x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
0.58x
Average: 1.71 home goals and 1.33 away goals per game in La Liga 2026-2027
Based on 7 + 6 La Liga 2026-2027 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Valencia (A) 2-3 · 20 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Last game lineup
4-2-3-1
vs Alaves (H) 0-0 · 19 Sep 2026
Substitutes
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings
25%
38%
38%
Real Sociedad wins 2
Draws 3
Athletic Club wins 3
Goals 8 (1.00 per game)
Goals 12 (1.50 per game)
75%
6
of 8
Over 1.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
3
of 8
Over 3.5 Goals
50%
4
of 8
Both Teams Scored
13%
1
of 8
Real Sociedad Clean Sheets
50%
4
of 8
Athletic Club Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 8 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Form & Points per Game
W
L
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
W
L
L
1.43
3-1-3
PPG Overall
1.33
1-1-1
PPG at Home
1.50
2-0-2
PPG Away
D
D
W
W
L
D
D
W
W
L
L
1.33
2-2-2
PPG Overall
1.25
1-2-1
PPG at Home
1.50
1-0-1
PPG Away
Venue form: Athletic Club away +13% on points per game vs Real Sociedad at home (1.50 vs 1.33)
Rest & Schedule
224
days rest
Valencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
225
days rest
Athletic Club 0-0 Alaves
0 games in 14 days · 0 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
7
3
4
Win %
43%
33%
50%
Goals per game
3.14
2.00
4.00
Scored
1.29
0.67
1.75
Conceded
1.86
1.33
2.25
Both teams scored
57%
33%
75%
Clean sheets
14%
33%
0%
Failed to score
43%
67%
25%
xG
1.19
1.05
1.29
xGA
1.66
1.08
2.10
Overall
Home
Away
Played
6
4
2
Win %
33%
25%
50%
Goals per game
2.17
2.25
2.00
Scored
1.17
1.25
1.00
Conceded
1.00
1.00
1.00
Both teams scored
33%
50%
0%
Clean sheets
50%
50%
50%
Failed to score
33%
25%
50%
xG
1.62
1.67
1.52
xGA
1.22
0.58
2.49
La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
86% 6/7
83% 5/6
85%
–
Over 1.5
71% 5/7
83% 5/6
77%
77%
Over 2.5
71% 5/7
33% 2/6
52%
57%
Over 3.5
43% 3/7
17% 1/6
30%
39%
Over 4.5
43% 3/7
0% 0/6
21%
–
Under 2.5
29% 2/7
67% 4/6
48%
43%
Both teams score
BTTS
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
45%
58%
BTTS & win
43% 3/7
0% 0/6
21%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
57% 4/7
17% 1/6
37%
–
Real Sociedad
RSO
Athletic Club
BIL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
57% 4/7
50% 3/6
54%
–
Over 1.5
43% 3/7
17% 1/6
30%
–
Over 2.5
0% 0/7
0% 0/6
0%
–
BTTS
29% 2/7
0% 0/6
14%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games, 3.04 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
0.67 at home
1.00 away
Real Sociedad scored 2 in 3 home games
Athletic Club scored 2 in 2 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Athletic Club
BIL
Scored over 0.5
57% 4/7
67% 4/6
Scored over 1.5
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
Scored over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
Failed to score
43% 3/7
33% 2/6
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.33 at home
1.00 away
Real Sociedad conceded 4 in 3 home games
Athletic Club conceded 2 in 2 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Athletic Club
BIL
Conceded over 0.5
86% 6/7
50% 3/6
Conceded over 1.5
57% 4/7
33% 2/6
Conceded over 2.5
29% 2/7
17% 1/6
Clean sheets
14% 1/7
50% 3/6
Streaks
1
Won last game
3
Conceded in a row
3
Over 2.5 goals in a row
4
Unbeaten last loss 5 games ago
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Athletic Club
BIL
League
Corners
Corners won
7.29
6.17
–
Corners conceded
4.29
4.83
–
Match total
11.57
11.00
9.65
Over 8.5
100% 7/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 9.5
86% 6/7
67% 4/6
–
Over 10.5
71% 5/7
67% 4/6
–
Cards
Cards
2.43
2.17
–
Opponent cards
2.86
1.67
–
Match total
5.29
3.83
4.42
Over 3.5
86% 6/7
33% 2/6
–
Over 4.5
86% 6/7
33% 2/6
–
Shots
Shots
13.43
15.67
–
Opponent shots
15.86
9.50
–
Match total
29.29
25.17
26.46
Shots on target
On target
5.14
4.67
–
Opponent on target
6.14
3.67
–
Match total
11.29
8.33
–
Fouls
Fouls
12.43
11.17
–
Opponent fouls
10.14
11.33
–
Match total
22.57
22.50
–
Offsides
Offsides
1.50
1.50
–
Opponent offsides
1.33
3.67
–
Match total
2.83
5.17
–
Possession
All games
49%
53%
–
Home games
52%
60%
–
Away games
47%
38%
–
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2026-2027 (69 games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Sociedad
Scored · 9
22%
11%
22%
0%
11%
34%
Conceded · 13
0%
0%
15%
15%
31%
39%
Athletic Club
Scored · 7
0%
29%
0%
29%
14%
28%
Conceded · 6
17%
0%
17%
50%
0%
16%
50%
Scored first
40%
33%
Goals after 75'
29%
Scored first: Real Sociedad 3 of 6, Athletic Club 2 of 5 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
29%71%
Leading 2
Level 5
Trailing 0
1.57
points per game
At half-time
100%
2 of 2
Led at HT, won
–
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 52nd 4
At half-time
17%50%33%
Leading 1
Level 3
Trailing 2
1.00
points per game
At half-time
100%
1 of 1
Led at HT, won
0%
0 of 2
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 22nd 5
0
Points won from losing positions in 3 · 3 games
1
0
Points dropped from winning positions in 3 · 2 games
0
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2026-2027 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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