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17 May 2026-5:00 pm
Stats Prediction
Result probability
60%
21%
19%
Real Sociedad 60%
Draw 21%
Valencia 19%
2.1 – 1.1
goals per side
Expected Goals
2-1
10% chance
Most Likely Score
61%
model
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
model
Both Teams Score
How the model sees it
RSO · at home
Valencia · away
1.89
Goals scored per game
0.82
1.50
Goals conceded per game
1.71
1.20x
Attack vs average goals scored, 1.00x = average
0.72x
1.32x
Defence vs average goals conceded, lower is better
1.09x
Average: 1.57 home goals and 1.14 away goals per game in La Liga 2025-2026
Based on 35 + 34 La Liga 2025-2026 games (attack × defence × league average, Poisson)
18+ · Statistical estimate, not betting advice.
Matchweek Games
Lineups
Lineups not confirmed yetBoth teams shown with the XI from their last game
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Real Betis (H) 2-2 · 9 May 2026
Substitutes
22
Last game lineup
4-4-2
vs Atletico Madrid (H) 0-2 · 2 May 2026
Substitutes
29
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings
14%
57%
29%
Real Sociedad wins 1
Draws 4
Valencia wins 2
Goals 5 (0.71 per game)
Goals 4 (0.57 per game)
43%
3
of 7
Over 1.5 Goals
14%
1
of 7
Over 2.5 Goals
0%
0
of 7
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2
of 7
Both Teams Scored
43%
3
of 7
Real Sociedad Clean Sheets
57%
4
of 7
Valencia Clean Sheets
Recent meetings
All competitions · finished games before this kick-off
Goals across the last 7 meetings · includes players no longer at either club
Common Opponents
Opponent
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
Points on these 5
6 of 27 · 0.67 per game
9 of 27 · 1.00 per game
Form & Points per Game
D
L
D
L
D
D
L
D
L
D
W
L
W
L
W
1.26
11-11-13
PPG Overall
1.61
8-5-5
PPG at Home
0.88
3-6-8
PPG Away
L
W
D
L
L
L
W
D
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
1.15
10-9-15
PPG Overall
1.53
7-5-5
PPG at Home
0.76
3-4-10
PPG Away
Venue form: Real Sociedad at home +112% on points per game vs Valencia away (1.61 vs 0.76)
Rest & Schedule
8
days rest
Real Sociedad 2-2 Real Betis
2 games in 14 days · 4 in 30 days
15
days rest
Valencia 0-2 Atletico Madrid
0 games in 14 days · 3 in 30 days
Team Comparison
Overall
Home
Away
Played
35
18
17
Win %
31%
44%
18%
Goals per game
3.11
3.39
2.82
Scored
1.54
1.89
1.18
Conceded
1.57
1.50
1.65
Both teams scored
77%
78%
76%
Clean sheets
9%
11%
6%
Failed to score
14%
11%
18%
xG
1.38
1.64
1.10
xGA
1.44
1.27
1.62
Overall
Home
Away
Played
34
17
17
Win %
29%
41%
18%
Goals per game
2.56
2.59
2.53
Scored
1.09
1.35
0.82
Conceded
1.47
1.24
1.71
Both teams scored
53%
59%
47%
Clean sheets
24%
24%
24%
Failed to score
26%
18%
35%
xG
1.29
1.45
1.12
xGA
1.21
0.95
1.48
La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off · underlined column = the venue each club plays this game at
Match Goals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
100% 35/35
97% 33/34
99%
–
Over 1.5
80% 28/35
79% 27/34
80%
79%
Over 2.5
60% 21/35
41% 14/34
51%
51%
Over 3.5
43% 15/35
21% 7/34
32%
26%
Over 4.5
20% 7/35
15% 5/34
17%
–
Under 2.5
40% 14/35
59% 20/34
49%
49%
Both teams score
BTTS
77% 27/35
53% 18/34
65%
57%
BTTS & win
23% 8/35
9% 3/34
16%
–
BTTS & over 2.5
60% 21/35
32% 11/34
46%
–
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
Average
Avg
League
Over 0.5
80% 28/35
56% 19/34
68%
–
Over 1.5
37% 13/35
12% 4/34
24%
–
Over 2.5
14% 5/35
6% 2/34
10%
–
BTTS
26% 9/35
6% 2/34
16%
–
% of each club's games · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games, 2.70 goals per game)
Goals Scored & Conceded
Goals per game at this venue
1.89 at home
0.82 away
Real Sociedad scored 34 in 18 home games
Valencia scored 14 in 17 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
Scored over 0.5
86% 30/35
74% 25/34
Scored over 1.5
46% 16/35
26% 9/34
Scored over 2.5
23% 8/35
9% 3/34
Failed to score
14% 5/35
26% 9/34
Goals conceded per game at this venue
1.50 at home
1.71 away
Real Sociedad conceded 27 in 18 home games
Valencia conceded 29 in 17 away games
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
Conceded over 0.5
91% 32/35
76% 26/34
Conceded over 1.5
40% 14/35
44% 15/34
Conceded over 2.5
23% 8/35
12% 4/34
Clean sheets
9% 3/35
24% 8/34
Streaks
5
Without a win last win 6 games ago
5
Conceded in a row
3
Longest win run this season
1
Lost last game
5
Conceded in a row
2
Longest win run this season
Match Totals
Real Sociedad
RSO
Valencia
VAL
League
Corners
Corners won
5.66
5.13
–
Corners conceded
4.51
5.00
–
Match total
10.17
10.13
9.65
Over 8.5
69% 24/35
70% 21/30
–
Over 9.5
57% 20/35
50% 15/30
–
Over 10.5
43% 15/35
50% 15/30
–
Cards
Cards
2.17
1.88
–
Opponent cards
2.57
2.38
–
Match total
4.74
4.26
4.62
Over 3.5
57% 20/35
68% 23/34
–
Over 4.5
40% 14/35
47% 16/34
–
Shots
Shots
12.60
11.53
–
Opponent shots
13.31
11.94
–
Match total
25.91
23.47
24.67
Shots on target
On target
4.85
3.37
–
Opponent on target
4.42
4.40
–
Match total
9.27
7.77
–
Fouls
Fouls
13.97
12.26
–
Opponent fouls
12.31
11.85
–
Match total
26.29
24.12
–
Possession
All games
51%
48%
–
Home games
52%
51%
–
Away games
51%
46%
–
Not shown: Offsides - recorded in fewer than 70% of these games.
Per game, over the games each stat is recorded in · League = La Liga 2025-2026 (345 games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Goal Timing
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90+
Real Sociedad
Scored · 54
6%
17%
18%
18%
15%
26%
Conceded · 55
15%
13%
20%
20%
7%
25%
Valencia
Scored · 37
11%
8%
5%
22%
22%
32%
Conceded · 50
4%
14%
14%
22%
20%
26%
43%
Scored first
45%
26%
Goals after 75'
32%
Scored first: Real Sociedad 15 of 35, Valencia 15 of 33 games with a goal · from timed goal events (stoppage time counts in its half's last period) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Halves & Game State
At half-time
31%37%31%
Leading 11
Level 13
Trailing 11
1.31
points per game
At half-time
73%
8 of 11
Led at HT, won
36%
4 of 11
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 222nd 32
At half-time
18%47%35%
Leading 6
Level 16
Trailing 12
1.00
points per game
At half-time
50%
3 of 6
Led at HT, won
25%
3 of 12
Trailed at HT, not beaten
Goals by half
1st 92nd 28
11
Points won from losing positions in 22 · 22 games
9
16
Points dropped from winning positions in 18 · 16 games
16
Game state replayed from timed goal events · bar length = share of the maximum possible (3 × games) · La Liga 2025-2026 · finished games before kick-off
Likely Scorers
Bar + % = share of the club's goals
Bar + % = share of the club's goals they set up
Average rating over each player's last 5 rated games
Booking Risk
Cards per 90
Cards per 90
Cards per 90 = players with 450+ minutes
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